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AKo facing aggression from tighty IP

  
 
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mxiu
Old 07-21-2009, 04:11 AM     Post subject: AKo facing aggression from tighty IP #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 8/6 over 130 hands no reads

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($208.95)
Button ($86.35)
SB ($200)
BB ($264)
UTG ($208.20)
Hero (UTG+1) ($200)
MP1 ($115)
MP2 ($242.85)
MP3 ($215)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K, A
1 fold, Hero bets $8, 3 folds, CO calls $8, 2 folds, BB calls $6

Flop: ($25) 2, A, J (3 players)
BB bets $20, Hero calls $20, 1 fold

Turn: ($65) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $40, Hero calls $40

River: ($145) 8 (2 players)
BB bets $196 (All-In), Hero? ($132)
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Old 07-21-2009, 04:22 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I think you need to fold but it's so gay
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Micro2Macro
Old 07-21-2009, 06:48 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 24.659% 09.66% 15.00% 85 132.00 { AsKh }
Hand 1: 75.341% 60.34% 15.00% 531 132.00 { JJ, 22, AKs, AJs, QhJh, Th9h, AKo, AJo }

This was calculated for the turn and feels somewhat optimistic given a player this tight likely isn't calling a SC like QJ/T9 oop here (I guess).

I don't think I'd fold the flop...but it looks like we should on the turn
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BankItDrew
Old 07-21-2009, 06:56 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 standard then fold


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jessyj
Old 07-21-2009, 07:25 AM #5 (permalink)  
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fold turn.
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Stacks
Old 07-21-2009, 07:49 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jessyj
fold turn.
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mcatdog
Old 07-21-2009, 08:58 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Fold flop, yeah I went there.
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mxiu
Old 07-21-2009, 09:47 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mcatdog
Fold flop, yeah I went there.
fold pre mirite
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bikes
Old 07-21-2009, 02:16 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mcatdog
Fold flop, yeah I went there.
The more I thought about this the more I liked it.
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Stacks
Old 07-21-2009, 04:50 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bbickes
Quote:
Originally Posted by mcatdog
Fold flop, yeah I went there.
The more I thought about this the more I liked it.
Same here.. 8/6 just really isn't leading anything we beat. He has JJ/22 like always.
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Deanglow
Old 07-21-2009, 06:28 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mcatdog
Fold flop, yeah I went there.
oh no you didn't

I probably fold turn like 60% of the time or so and river 90ish%
 
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mxiu
Old 07-21-2009, 10:00 PM #12 (permalink)  
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problem with folding flop is that even though i run 16/13'ish, there are tables where i run 5/3 over 100 hands. i dont think 180 hands is really a fair assessment
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Parasurama
Old 07-21-2009, 10:55 PM #13 (permalink)  
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fold turn imo but folding flop is interesting and may be correct with a larger sample
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hopeful
Old 07-22-2009, 10:23 AM #14 (permalink)  
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I think raise flop then shut down if called.
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Micro2Macro
Old 07-22-2009, 04:28 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mxiu
problem with folding flop is that even though i run 16/13'ish, there are tables where i run 5/3 over 100 hands. i dont think 180 hands is really a fair assessment
+1

Quote:
Originally Posted by hopeful
I think raise flop then shut down if called.
Not intending to be offensive here, but what is with tournament players and 'raising for information'? I'm assuming this is what you mean, and I don't see any reason to.
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Miffed22001
Old 07-22-2009, 06:17 PM #16 (permalink)  
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 his line suggests he has you beaten. Sets are clearly in his range but i think people under-estimate AJ here - playing it fast on a board you likely hit?

id certainly call flop - im not in mcats school of folding outright on flop but i can see its merits but i think turn is 100% fold.
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badgers
Old 07-22-2009, 07:12 PM #17 (permalink)  
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Yeah I agree that flop fold can correct with this betsizing, however there is no way I fold this in play given the sample size. I think he will check everything we beat or tie(draws/ ak/aq although clearly he very rarely has a draw) so it's quite easy to play the turn. It is a really interesting idea though, and may be correct...
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BankItDrew
Old 07-23-2009, 05:11 AM #18 (permalink)  
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call flop fold turn

yay i learnded


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