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AK, TP raised on blank turn, draaaawwwyyy flop

  
 
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gametight
Old 03-19-2009, 06:04 PM     Post subject: AK, TP raised on blank turn, draaaawwwyyy flop #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is17/14/3.5

He is a below average reg imo.

What is he doing this with on the turn considering a shortstack is all in??

No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

SB ($32.70)
BB ($133.10)
UTG ($200)
Hero (UTG+1) ($215.10)
MP1 ($310.85)
MP2 ($198.70)
MP3 ($331.75)
CO ($120)
Button ($646)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K, A
1 fold, Hero bets $8, MP1 calls $8, 3 folds, Button calls $8, SB calls $7, 1 fold

Flop: ($34) J, A, 8 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $28, MP1 calls $28, 1 fold, SB calls $24.70 (All-In)

Turn: ($114.70) 2 (3 players, 1 all-in)
Hero bets $74, MP1 raises $274.85 (All-In), Hero says WTF!????
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Deanglow
Old 03-19-2009, 06:13 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 looks like you have to call
 
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d0zer
Old 03-19-2009, 06:30 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 You can't exactly B/F that turn with your sizing as you've committed more than half your stack already. I have no idea what this reg is doing. If he's below average postflop I suppose he could be playing a set, FD, AJ like this. AQ really doesn't seem likely but maybe...
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Renton
Old 03-19-2009, 08:10 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 seems like you should betfold a lot smaller or check

as played its proabbly a close fold
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badgers
Old 03-19-2009, 08:24 PM #5 (permalink)  
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any plan that involves stacking off on the turn seems bad
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daven
Old 03-20-2009, 12:08 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 why are you betting turn? and bet-sizing like this? The ace of spades on the board eliminates a lot of flush draws from his range.
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

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soulfire012
Old 03-24-2009, 08:36 PM #7 (permalink)  

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Is AdXd possible here?
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elipsesjeff
Old 03-25-2009, 01:11 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soulfire012
Is AdXd possible here?
No because we have the Kd.

We are completely owned here and should be pretty std fold. I agree though you aren't getting any value from villain here with this bet size and your hand is fairly transparent.


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soulfire012
Old 03-25-2009, 01:40 PM #9 (permalink)  

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Does it have to be AdKd? Couldn't he be semibluffing AdQd?

That being said I would still agree that you're behind; probably drawing dead.
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grindinginnj
Old 03-26-2009, 04:14 AM #10 (permalink)  
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I think set ,flush draw, maybe 2 pair..doubt it, does this..

I think you c/c turn(maybe up to pot)
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HiLo
Old 03-26-2009, 09:03 AM #11 (permalink)  
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I don't expect to see a FD here very often, maybe AdQd, and perhaps KsQs, but that's about it. The majority of his range preflop was PPs and is even more so now. I think he is raising a set 80% of the time here.

I bet-fold $60 on the turn.
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