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mxiu
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01-23-2006, 06:51 AM
Post subject: AK.. how's my line?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 982
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Live game. 1/2 NL (100 max buy-in). 11 players. Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts and is sitting at about 800. I have $252. SB and BB are really tight and have already notioned that they are going to fold to the 25xBB raise.
Villain is UTG.
Dealt AKs on the button.
Villain raises to $50.
Everyone else folds.
I raise all-in $252.
What does everyone think? I put him on JJ-QQ, and is too damn scared to play a flop. If he folds, I win $53 preflop, if he calls, I have a coinflop.
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WildBobAA
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: lol i dunno
Posts: 1,811
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If he has JJ-QQ and with your read, he will undoubtably call you with those hands, in which case you are about 46% to win which does not justify the odds you're getting (1:1). Something tells me that there's not much of a chance of him folding if he's run his 100 buy in up to 800 and is sucking out (he's probably willing to gamble). Now if you think he might call you with AQ (possible but unlikely) then maybe I make this play but I'm pretty much against sticking it in with AK in any cash game since I'd much rather take flops and outplay people. QQ, KK, AA I make this play and that's it.
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what are the BLINDS
maybe against JJ QQ his pot equity is good enough for that coin flip
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badandy519
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01-23-2006, 08:16 AM
Post subject: Re: AK.. how's my line?
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#4 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: mckinney, tx
Posts: 223
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by mxiu
Live game. 1/2 NL
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mxiu
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 982
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by WildBobAA
If he has JJ-QQ and with your read, he will undoubtably call you with those hands, in which case you are about 46% to win which does not justify the odds you're getting (1:1). Something tells me that there's not much of a chance of him folding if he's run his 100 buy in up to 800 and is sucking out (he's probably willing to gamble). Now if you think he might call you with AQ (possible but unlikely) then maybe I make this play but I'm pretty much against sticking it in with AK in any cash game since I'd much rather take flops and outplay people. QQ, KK, AA I make this play and that's it.
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He bets 25xBB. I definitely do not put him on KK-AA. Against the rest of the coinflip hands, or possibly even AK, don't I have some folding equity? 25xBB is quite the raise PF.
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Irisheyes
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01-23-2006, 04:07 PM
Post subject: Re: AK.. how's my line?
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#6 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: over there
Posts: 3,708
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by mxiu
Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts
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Thats because he calls alot when he shouldn't, so your FE is minimal. I suppose if you like varience its cool.
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mxiu
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01-23-2006, 06:39 PM
Post subject: Re: AK.. how's my line?
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#7 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 982
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by iRICHeyes
Quote:
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Originally Posted by mxiu
Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts
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Thats because he calls alot when he shouldn't, so your FE is minimal. I suppose if you like varience its cool. |
FE?
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EricE
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01-23-2006, 06:40 PM
Post subject: Re: AK.. how's my line?
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#8 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 894
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by mxiu
Quote:
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Originally Posted by iRICHeyes
Quote:
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Originally Posted by mxiu
Villain has been making a lot of fishy suckouts
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Thats because he calls alot when he shouldn't, so your FE is minimal. I suppose if you like varience its cool. |
FE? |
Fold Equity
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Stakes: Playing $0.10/$0.25 NL
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mxiu
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Full House
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 982
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If he's making a lot of calls that he shouldn't, doesn't that also mean that there's more of a chance that he'll hold hands that I dominate? AQ/KQ? Keep in mind that I'm sitting at a table that will re-raise QJs.
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WildBobAA
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: lol i dunno
Posts: 1,811
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by mxiu
If he's making a lot of calls that he shouldn't, doesn't that also mean that there's more of a chance that he'll hold hands that I dominate? AQ/KQ? Keep in mind that I'm sitting at a table that will re-raise QJs.
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I don't know, I'm going with your read that he has JJ or QQ
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Farrell
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 12
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If he's scared to play a flop with JJ or QQ, and that's your read, didn't you just do exactly what he wanted you to?
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