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AK Hand I Found Interesting

  
 
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martindcx1e
Old 10-23-2006, 03:41 PM     Post subject: AK Hand I Found Interesting #1 (permalink)  
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I found this hand on 2P2 and liked the discussion about it. What's everyone's thoughts on Hero's line here? As played what should Hero do on the turn after the push?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
8 players

Stack sizes:
UTG: $119.50
UTG+1: $96
MP1: $73.35
MP2: $98.15
CO: $32.30
Button: $115.15
Hero: $338.10
BB: $100

Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is SB with :Ac: :Kh:
2 folds, MP1 calls $1 (pot was $1.5), 2 folds, Button calls $1 (pot was $2.5), Hero raises to $5, BB folds, MP1 calls $4 (pot was $7.5), Button calls $4 (pot was $11.5).

Flop: :Kc: ($16, 3 players)
Hero bets $12
MP1 folds
Button raises to $30
Hero calls $18 (pot was $58).

Turn: ($76, 2 players)
Hero checks
Button is all-in $80.15
Hero ?

Results:
Final pot: $76
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 10-23-2006, 06:02 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 This looks like a draw to me. Maybe KQd or AKd, even could be KJd. 67d looks really likely too.

Then again, could be a set.

I'd say 60% 11.5 (on average) out draw
40% set

what's the expected value with those? It's probably good enough to call.
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Margin Of Error
Old 10-23-2006, 06:40 PM #3 (permalink)  
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This is a really hard hand with no reads. It looks to me like villian is trying to push hero off his hand and is either drawing or has a mediocre overpair.
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Rondavu
Old 10-23-2006, 06:57 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Does this interesting discussion start with a read on the villain? Some people like to stack off with TPTK against unknowns, but I don't.
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martindcx1e
Old 10-23-2006, 07:39 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rondavu
Does this interesting discussion start with a read on the villain? Some people like to stack off with TPTK against unknowns, but I don't.
No reads I believe.
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ApocalypsPLZ
Old 10-24-2006, 09:17 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Looks like a draw, I'd call.
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Fnord
Old 10-24-2006, 09:54 AM #7 (permalink)  
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I can see GAMB00Ling here. It really comes down to what kinds of hands he's limping on the button.

Given the game/stakes, I think you see AQ-AT a lot more often than a flush draw.
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