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AK on the button vs 2 accidents waiting to happen

  
 
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Fnord
Old 10-17-2005, 06:29 PM     Post subject: AK on the button vs 2 accidents waiting to happen #1 (permalink)  
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.5/1 NL the online fishing hole

My image is sTAgg. Just busted the super-donator with a set of ducks vs top pair second kicker. I've been raising it up about 1-2 times an orbit and doing 3/4-full pot continuation bets about 80% of the time.

Me: $200
EP: $80
LP: $110

EP opens for $2. He plays lots of hands (~50%), is passive on eary streets and will float around to make a play on a later street. Been treading between $80-$120 over the last couple hours. A de-stacking waiting to happen. Haven't seen him raise much pre-flop, so I have no clue what a min-raise from him means.
MP calls
LP calls. LP just sat down, but in a prior hand he took a pot away from me when I went in a little light and he re-raised.
I make it $6 flat from the button with AK
Blinds fold
EP calls
MP folds
LP calls

3 to the frop, $23 in the pot
J T blank rainbow
Checked to me and I bet $15

How'd I do?
 
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Old 10-17-2005, 07:00 PM #2 (permalink)  
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You have the best hand so it's a value bet
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Rondavu
Old 10-17-2005, 07:44 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Rondavu
Check behind with fair outs and a high likelyhood of being called or check raised.

You said you are continuing everytime. That makes it a lot safer for a pair of jacks to check to you on that flop. You can pass up a chance at protecting if the preflop raiser is going to do it for you.
It's not what's inside that counts. Have you seen what's inside?
Internal organs. And they're getting uglier by the minute.
 
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Fnord
Old 10-17-2005, 10:09 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rondavu
Check behind with fair outs and a high likelyhood of being called or check raised.
I don't mind being called if I can check behind on the turn. I'd love to see 5 cards in this spot.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rondavu
You said you are continuing everytime.
I said about 80%. Tweedle-dumb knows I cont bet a lot, but doesn't like to make moves on the flop. Tweedle-stupid hasn't been at the table long enough to think I don't have Aces here.
 
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Lukie
Old 10-18-2005, 06:21 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Looks standard to me. With 2 overs + a gutshot obviously you are looking to take the pot down here. I personally think this is played fine, and I would fold to a check-raise here obviously. A queen on the turn gives you the nut straight, and an ace or king MAY be good. That would be quite a dangerous board though to be holding TPTK on the turn. I'd be hoping to take it down on the flop and hopefully get the chance to check behind on the turn if you miss.
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