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AJs vs button - 50NL

  
 
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caddie444
Old 06-25-2010, 07:42 PM     Post subject: AJs vs button - 50NL #1 (permalink)  
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 Limper was a fish

Villain on the button is 'Kreten13' who runs 10/9 3Betting 7% from the button, and seemed very solid, but straightforward

I would say his range for calling my open on the button is prob around:

QQ-22,AQs-ATs,A5s-A2s,KJs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,AQo-AJo,KJo+,QJo,JTo

With less weighting on JJ,QQ ( I think he would for sure 3B AA,KK,AK) because he has flatted QQ-JJ before on the button facing a late position open

After he calls my flop c-bet I think I can narrow it down to:

TT,66,KJs+,QJs,9h8h,8h7h,6h5h,5h4h,KJo+,QJo

as I believe he could slowplay sets on this board, and he's fairly passive so he would not raise flush draws

When the turn falls my equity stays about the same (~47%) and I'm wondering what my plan should be, here are my thoughts:

I can still get value from his drawing hands with a bet, and I likely won't be raised with his Kx hands, so b/f'ing seems to have merit, but then it just seems to me he is at least continuing with his entire range on the turn and I will be put in some awkward spots on the river when I miss my nut draws.

So should my plan be to b/f the turn, c/f missed rivers since I don't expect him to turn missed draws into bluffs?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($87.25)
SB ($15.20)
BB ($57.20)
UTG ($59.50)
UTG+1 ($53.80)
MP1 ($36.05)
Hero (MP2) ($62.10)
CO ($29.25)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with ,
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, Hero bets $2, 1 fold, Button calls $2, 3 folds

Flop: ($5.25) , , (2 players)
Hero bets $3, Button calls $3

Turn: ($11.25) (2 players)
Hero's plan is?


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Outlaw
Old 06-25-2010, 07:50 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Bet the turn for value imp
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Deanglow
Old 06-25-2010, 10:01 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 If he is a huge nit then I don't mind check/calling
 
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daven
Old 06-26-2010, 02:31 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 check-call, and include AK in his range pre, maybe KQo/QJo are less likely than you think, same goes for the suited connectors. 10-9 means he just isn't calling as wide as you're suggesting.
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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bikes
Old 06-29-2010, 07:34 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Deanglow View Post
If he is a huge nit then I don't mind check/calling

c/c for sureeeeee
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