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AA - Tell me what to do on river.

  
 
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givememyleg
Old 06-19-2006, 03:20 PM     Post subject: AA - Tell me what to do on river. #1 (permalink)  
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 PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 ($132.50)
givememyleg ($62.70)
MP2 ($68.85)
MP3 ($10.25)
CO ($54.85)
Button ($17.55)
SB ($15.10)
BB ($66.45)
UTG ($16.10)

Preflop: givememyleg is MP1 with A, A.
2 folds, givememyleg raises to $2, 2 folds, CO calls $2, 3 folds.

Flop: ($4.75) T, Q, 3 (2 players)
givememyleg bets $3.5, CO calls $3.50.

Turn: ($11.75) 8 (2 players)
givememyleg bets $8, CO calls $8.

River: ($27.75) K (2 players)
givememyleg .........

My image is tag, about 20/9 or so after 150 hands at this table. Villian is 20/4, decent player, been here about 100 hands. What's my play on the river after being called down on flop/turn?

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Knytestorme
Old 06-19-2006, 03:27 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Lead out, villan is on AQ

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givememyleg
Old 06-19-2006, 03:34 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Knytestorme
Lead out, villan is on AQ
How much?

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Knytestorme
Old 06-19-2006, 03:47 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I'd say $20 for value and be ready to call a push.

Given his stats I can see AJ being in range but can't see him calling that turn bet for a gutshot.

Alternativly, if we're sure he isn't on AJ/QT/KT/KQ then an AI overbet may get called if he thinks you are trying to scare him out with like AT.

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Rockymv
Old 06-19-2006, 05:07 PM #5 (permalink)  
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With his stats it could also easily be playing KQ or a flopped set like this. I'd check/call. Maybe that's weak-tight though.
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Miffed22001
Old 06-19-2006, 05:58 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 value bet, possibly call a raise depending on what you think he has
AQ/KQ/J9s are all possible.
Id only have bet 6 on the turn then have bet $10 on the river.
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Fnord
Old 06-19-2006, 06:07 PM #7 (permalink)  
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freechus9
Old 06-20-2006, 06:53 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Can we check/call here or is that leaving money on the table?
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allLiving
Old 06-20-2006, 07:29 AM #9 (permalink)  
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How can the villain possibly be on AQ? He wouldn't be cold calling a bet here with AQ on a flop like that.

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Genitruc
Old 06-21-2006, 12:08 AM #10 (permalink)  
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 If villain is decent the passive AQ play seems weak to me.

I'd be more likely to put him on Js-9s or Ks-Js with turn giving him a big draw and explaining the call.

He could be slowplaying a set figuring backdoor flush unlikely for you.

He calls a value bet w AQ, reraises w J9, calls (maybe) w KJ, prob reraises w set... Seems to me he is as likely to have a reraising hand as one that will call a value bet so I think it's pretty marginal. I lean towards a 1/2 pot-sized bet here but can understand check/call.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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givememyleg
Old 06-21-2006, 12:14 AM #11 (permalink)  
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 Well, I was pretty confused by his call call line, and to be honest I did not know where I was. The pot was pretty big, about 55 bbs, and I took the weaksauce line of:

Flop: ($4.75) T, Q, 3 (2 players)
givememyleg bets $3.5, CO calls $3.50.

Turn: ($11.75) 8 (2 players)
givememyleg bets $8, CO calls $8.

River: ($27.75) K (2 players)
givememyleg checks, CO bets $20, givememyleg .....

Either he attacked my weakness or has me beat. Easy call here? $10 a better option vs checking? If he pushed over my bet, fold?.. or is there too much invest at that point?

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IowaSkinsFan
Old 06-21-2006, 12:24 AM #12 (permalink)  
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 I really would block bet the river, It's just too weak to check/call, however given you did check I still call the river.
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