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AA, Fold to Min-raise?

  
 
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Werddown
Old 06-14-2006, 02:53 PM     Post subject: AA, Fold to Min-raise? #1 (permalink)  
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($49.65)
MP ($1.80)
CO ($10)
Hero ($9.85)
SB ($10.35)
BB ($11.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, A.
UTG calls $0.10, MP calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.4, SB calls $0.35, 1 fold, UTG folds, MP folds.

Flop: ($1.10) 7, J, 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.9, SB calls $0.90.

Turn: ($2.90) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB raises to $4, Hero ??.

The heart draw missed and he min-raised me... Without a read can I continue here? Re-raising the turn commits me and calling makes it so I pretty much have to call any bet on the river. I dont see too many hands that I beat min-raising that turn. This is $10 NL though.
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Stripclubjunkie
Old 06-14-2006, 04:03 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Shoves...
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Warpe
Old 06-14-2006, 04:12 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stripclubjunkie
Shoves...
Agree. For all you know, this could be AJ/KJ/QJ/JT...
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 06-14-2006, 04:31 PM #4 (permalink)  
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i'm not sure if i don't try to see the river for cheap, he's not playing it like tp
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jackvance
Old 06-14-2006, 04:39 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
i'm not sure if i don't try to see the river for cheap, he's not playing it like tp
And then what? There's an 8% chance you'll hit your set, but otherwise?..
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Genitruc
Old 06-14-2006, 04:53 PM #6 (permalink)  
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isn't it 4% to hit set?
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Werddown
Old 06-14-2006, 06:06 PM #7 (permalink)  
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so im just paying off the set here then?

it looks pretty obvious that he has at least something more than top pair.. with the check/call and check/raise. How much more obvious does he have to make it for me to lay it down?

Am I always paying off hands with AA in hopes that its top pair or less then? Regardless of how hes playing his hand?
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Muxy
Old 06-14-2006, 08:09 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
isn't it 4% to hit set?
you flop a set 10.8% pf the time.
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Stripclubjunkie
Old 06-14-2006, 09:20 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Werddown
Am I always paying off hands with AA in hopes that its top pair or less then? Regardless of how hes playing his hand?
No but its hard to get away from...It would be easier if the board paired...Your Aces stands for a lot of your profit and have a very high win %...
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Warpe
Old 06-14-2006, 09:34 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Werddown
so im just paying off the set here then?

it looks pretty obvious that he has at least something more than top pair.. with the check/call and check/raise. How much more obvious does he have to make it for me to lay it down?

Am I always paying off hands with AA in hopes that its top pair or less then? Regardless of how hes playing his hand?
What makes you so sure this is a set? This could be any number of hands. Sure, this could be a set and if that's your read then lay it down and feel good about it. I just wouldn't feel good about it, not at these stakes.
 
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Stripclubjunkie
Old 06-14-2006, 10:13 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Button ($20.55)
SB ($47.05)
BB ($15.25)
UTG ($104.87)
UTG+1 ($22.64)
MP1 ($48)
MP2 ($48.33)
MP3 ($50)
Hero ($48.95)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J, K. SB posts a blind of $0.25. MP3 posts a blind of $0.50.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 (poster) checks, Hero calls $0.50, Button calls $0.50, SB (poster) completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($3) Q, K, 6 (6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets $3, Button raises to $6, SB folds, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP3 folds, Hero calls $3.

Turn: ($15) T (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $4, Hero calls $4.

River: ($23) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

Final Pot: $23

Put him on a set?
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WhooFleuryScores
Old 06-14-2006, 10:32 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Bet river.
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