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AA to flop shove (50NL)

  
 
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taipan168
Old 05-13-2007, 08:44 AM     Post subject: AA to flop shove (50NL) #1 (permalink)  
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Opp is 30/18/2.4 over 160 hands. Call or fold the flop shove?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($46.75)
UTG ($65.70)
Hero ($51.95)
MP1 ($68.30)
MP2 ($79.10)
MP3 ($9.25)
CO ($9.80)
Button ($45.15)
SB ($52.30)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A, A.
UTG raises to $1.5, Hero raises to $4.5, 7 folds, UTG calls $3.

Flop: ($9.75) J, Q, 6 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $8, UTG raises to $61.2, Hero ????
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Miffed22001
Old 05-13-2007, 09:10 AM #2 (permalink)  
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have you seen him overplay AQ/KK like this otherwise its QQ/JJ i think.
If you think hes a bit spewy then its an easy call otherwise robably an easy fold. Id be tempted to felt regardless...
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biondino
Old 05-13-2007, 12:04 PM #3 (permalink)  
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It's playing like a scared JQ, but why would JQ call your pfrr? KK isn't impossible here. Nasty.
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Benoso
Old 05-13-2007, 12:19 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I reckon QQ or JJ plays slower here. I reckon he has AQ, and he's putting you on AK or something.
 
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dmg7
Old 05-13-2007, 12:22 PM #5 (permalink)  
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i agree, i wouldnt put him on KK, he could be shoving a flush draw to scare you off it? or is that not a possibility? possible AJ of diamonds? :S
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Miffed22001
Old 05-13-2007, 12:26 PM #6 (permalink)  
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having read others responses it looks more and more like a clear call just because of board texture.
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drtofu66
Old 05-13-2007, 01:20 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dmg7
possible AJ of diamonds? :S
Nope, hero has the .

Hard to put him on a reasonable FD here with his UTG PFR raise. would fit. He does seem too loose and LAG to fold here, though. AF of 2.4 with VPIP 30%-- he can't have a hand this often. I throw up a little in my mouth and call.
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dmg7
Old 05-13-2007, 02:58 PM #8 (permalink)  
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ooohhhh yea silly me :P K10d is possible.

although, looking at other post i would be edging towards AQ/QJ (QJ dont make sense as why would he call preflop bet, but you never knw)
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