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88 overpair vs blind donk on paired flop - 100nl

  
 
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daven
Old 07-22-2009, 08:40 PM     Post subject: 88 overpair vs blind donk on paired flop - 100nl #1 (permalink)  
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 villain here is relative unknown 33-12 over 50 hands thus far. His post-flop play seems pretty fishy but hard to tell so have to stereotype based on general feel.
Pre-flop is standard.
Most of bb's range is pairs and aces. Flop donk is rarely a 2 or 66 cos these type of players slowplay. So, say he's A6/33/44/55/77/88/99/TT/JJ. If he's weak he's likely to slow down on the turn with all of his range, but if I raise I am likely to get a call. Easy fold if he 3-bets. So, I want to get money in while I think I'm ahead and that makes a raise optimal here I think. How much?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed)Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($24)
BB ($133.55)
UTG ($27.40)
UTG+1 ($30.50)
MP1 ($24.90)
MP2 ($40.05)
MP3 ($21)
Hero (CO) ($100)
Button ($24.15)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8, 8
3 folds, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, Hero bets $4.50, 2 folds, BB calls $3.50, MP2 calls $3.50

Flop: ($14) 6, 2, 2 (3 players)
BB bets $6, 1 fold, what to do?
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

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Old 07-22-2009, 09:03 PM #2 (permalink)  
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fuck raising, it might be barely EV+ on the flop, but it makes your decisions on later streets more difficult
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badgers
Old 07-22-2009, 09:10 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
fuck raising, it might be barely EV+ on the flop, but it makes your decisions on later streets more difficult
+1, don't overcomplicate this one you said yourself you don't have a great feel of his post flop play
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Deanglow
Old 07-23-2009, 12:07 AM #4 (permalink)  
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