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600nl - turn cbet

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  1. #1
    wakeup's Avatar
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    Default 600nl - turn cbet

    Just checking up on a fairly common spot.

    Villain is 21/15/ 3b 12% over 110 hands
    Is also multitabling

    Hero running 21/16/ 3b 7%


    What range are we betting on the turn?
    We open wide, cbet wide, so i feel we have to bet turn for value.

    1) Whats our plan on river with our range?
    2) What about with A5s?



    Grabbed by Holdem Manager
    NL Holdem $6(BB) Replayer
    SB ($600)
    BB ($717)
    Hero ($696)
    UTG+1 ($588)
    UTG+2 ($637)
    MP1 ($249)
    MP2 ($240)
    CO ($660)
    BTN ($232)

    Dealt to Hero Q A

    Hero raises to $18, fold, UTG+2 calls $18, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

    FLOP ($45) 9 8 A

    Hero bets $30, UTG+2 calls $30

    TURN ($105) 9 8 A 2

    Hero ?
  2. #2
    Deanglow's Avatar
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    lol
    Bet $78 most of the time and check maybe 20% vs this guy
  3. #3
    Renton's Avatar
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    cf
  4. #4
    wakeup's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renton View Post
    cf
    Why?

    We think his range is narrow pre, and his calling range on the flop is pretty narrow & strong?
  5. #5
    wakeup's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deanglow View Post
    Bet $78 most of the time and check maybe 20% vs this guy
    why do you have to plays in this spot?
  6. #6
    Renton's Avatar
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    His preflop calling range probably doesn't include any Ax lower than AQ, so he either has a mid pair or AK/set, he probably doesn't call or bet without the latter. Also combinatorically, he's not even that much more likely to have worse than AQ than he is to have AQ or better.
  7. #7
    wakeup's Avatar
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    Yeah okay that all makes sense.
    AQ(6) AK(8) AA(1) 88(3) 99(3)

    What about TT-KK; theres 23 combos, which is huge.
    Do you think an unknown mostly checks back here with these?

    Either way i dont think we're gettin called twice by much that we beat, so a check is in order

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