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50nl - some hand I played at like 5am

  
 
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Micro2Macro
Old 03-08-2010, 08:53 AM     Post subject: 50nl - some hand I played at like 5am #1 (permalink)  
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 14/0 over 91.

He bet the river really fast...I'm not really sure what to make of that..and whether or not we can assume he's b/f'ing something like ATs or not. I suppose T9s could reasonably be in his range, as well as chops, and if he limped JJ/88 pre he's only repping 6 set combos.

Thoughts on river? I mean yeah price is sick call and whatnot I'm just kinda confused on what his range is at this point. Maybe we could all give our opinions. We chop with AQ and I think that's really enough to just call given the price. Just kinda threw me off with his snap semi-blocking bet lol.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($69.70)
UTG+1 ($50)
MP1 ($66)
MP2 ($53.40)
MP3 ($50.75)
Hero (CO) ($94.50)
Button ($54.80)
SB ($45.50)
BB ($50)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, A
UTG calls $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.50, MP1 bets $3, MP2 calls $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $3, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $2.50

Flop: ($13.25) J, 8, A (4 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $7.50, UTG+1 calls $7.50, 2 folds

Turn: ($28.25) 3 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

River: ($28.25) 4 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $12,
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Renton
Old 03-08-2010, 06:29 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 I think i would call at 50nl. Even if its only AQ and better, it's probably pretty close toa call.
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Jason
Old 03-08-2010, 06:45 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 Heh, tough spot. Mathematically you can probably make some good arguments to call, but my heart says fold as I don't think we're good enough often to justify it - need to be good 3 times out of 10. 14/0 players typically don't get out of line and his turn check likely wasn't weakness so much as it was wanting you to bet. On the other hand, if I didn't have a lot of notes on the player, I might make a call to get some information because it is close. He never raises, so it could be TT-AA, a set, AK, or AJ just as easy as anything else.
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caddie444
Old 03-13-2010, 08:05 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 I wouldn't expect a 14/0 to be turning 9-10 or Q-10 into a bluff here, but he might some % of the time. It's pretty trivial no matter what you choose, folding/calling its prob break-even no matter what since we only have to be good like 25% of the time. So I call and note him up. If he shows up with worse it'll make you some monies having this info in the future.

I am wondering about thoughts on betting turn then checking back unimproved rivers. We get value out of his straight draws/Ax's and can easily fold to a c/r since he's likely never flatting a hand that is beating us (besides perhaps AK) thoughts?


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