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50NL, Nuts flush draw+gunshot on turn

  
 
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pokerfan
Old 04-10-2010, 12:19 AM     Post subject: 50NL, Nuts flush draw+gunshot on turn #1 (permalink)  
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villian is 17/10/1.5 with 1% 3bet% over 150 hands. Any thoughts on my play on the flop, turn and river? I just cant see any hands in his range which i beat on the river.Also, I dont really think that these types of players would run trip barrel bluff after i showed so much interest in the hand. Should i CRAI on the turn instead given his weak bet sizing?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($59.40)
Hero (MP2) ($50.75)
MP3 ($66.20)
CO ($52.55)
Button ($64.65)
SB ($96.35)
BB ($54.50)
UTG ($50)
UTG+1 ($168.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, K
3 folds, Hero bets $2, 2 folds, Button calls $2, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.75) 10, 3, 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $3, Button raises $9, Hero calls $6

Turn: ($22.75) J (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $12, Hero calls $12

River: ($46.75) A (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $15, Hero ?
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badgers
Old 04-10-2010, 01:30 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I think he has a worse FD more than 25% of the time here so I call. Not particularly happy though...

Other streets look fine. Turn c/r is spewy I think he'll have sets too much.
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caddie444
Old 04-10-2010, 01:41 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers View Post
I think he has a worse FD more than 25% of the time here so I call. Not particularly happy though...
So are you calling on a non A or K river?

I think this hand is played fine but the river is close but I can't find a fold for such a good price without a strong read that he always has a set here.


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badgers
Old 04-10-2010, 01:59 AM #4 (permalink)  
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haha good question. Depends what card it is, I think he's more likely to bluff an A or K though. I do agree it is a very close decision on river.
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pokerfan
Old 04-10-2010, 04:09 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Fuck!!! I often lost lots of money in these goofy spots.
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Santo2True
Old 04-10-2010, 05:26 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 is it ever possible for villain to have AT, J9s or Q9s here since calling flat from button?
I think a set seems much more probable given stats but there's to many hands you beat to not call river.

Seems like you did a good job of controlling the pot from OP anyway and his weak river bet seems more like a blocker... but I can defenitely see a either a missed draw or set here.
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