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50nl - get it in?

  
 
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Micro2Macro
Old 09-20-2010, 11:33 PM     Post subject: 50nl - get it in? #1 (permalink)  
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what do you guys think the chances of this being a misclick are?

villain is 50/0 over a few hands... he INSTA SNAP LOL clicked it back.

I know lrr's are pretty nutted but we do well vs QQ+,AK and there's a decent amount of dead coin out there. Keep in mind its a pot limit table so not really sure if fish lrr more here or what.

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SB ($50.85)
BB ($44.10)
UTG ($53.35)
UTG+1 ($49.25)
MP1 ($28.75)
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Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, Q
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 bets $2.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5.75, 2 folds, MP1 raises to $9.25, 1 fold, Hero...


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caddie444
Old 09-20-2010, 11:53 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Meh at best I think you're vs QQ+, AK (which you know you have 40% equity against) and if you shove since you have no FE you need ~ 38% equity vs his range. Thing is he's KK+ here alot so yah nit-fold for me. Chances for a misclick are always pretty low imo


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badgers
Old 09-21-2010, 12:04 AM #3 (permalink)  
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fml fold
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Micro2Macro
Old 09-21-2010, 12:05 AM #4 (permalink)  
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GOD DAMN WHY CANT I FOLD THIS IN GAME AFSDGSHDFHDHDL

he had KK lfdo. im going to go through my database and find every single hand that got to showdown in a limp re-raised pot and then come to a conclusion on just how god fucking awfully tight villains range really is here.
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daven
Old 09-21-2010, 12:07 AM #5 (permalink)  
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pretty easy fold.
 
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Micro2Macro
Old 09-21-2010, 12:27 AM #6 (permalink)  
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well like, I've actually seen stuff like 77 here before but it's not happening a huge % of the time.
"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."

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daven
Old 09-21-2010, 02:12 AM #7 (permalink)  
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well like, I've actually seen stuff like 77 here before but it's not happening a huge % of the time.
yeah, me too. But, like you said, relative frequencies etc.
 
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Illfavor
Old 09-21-2010, 02:18 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
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pretty easy fold.
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rpm
Old 09-21-2010, 06:49 AM #9 (permalink)  
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i may be wrong, but i don't think it's really worth trying to factor in how likely it was he misclicked. i mean if it's a high-volume 16/13 reg (ie its super unusual for this player to be UTG limp/min-4betting pre) then it may be worth considering. but 50/0's in my experience do it deliberately, quite often, and largely with hands which they think are the nuts (though, as you mentioned, for some people 88+,AQ+ is the preflop nuts). also, the fact that he limp/min4bet seems to make it more likely to be a deliberate fishy ploy than a misclick, as compared to if he say limped the BU behind 2 previous limpers then min 3bet a squeeze from the blinds.
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rpm
Old 09-21-2010, 06:51 AM #10 (permalink)  
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when i said:

"50/0's in my experience do it deliberately, quite often, and largely with hands which they think are the nuts"

i meant min-raising in general. not that they deliberately get KK+ UTG quite often or some such stupidity
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Renton
Old 09-21-2010, 11:44 AM #11 (permalink)  
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seems like easy call to set mine, some times weird things happen and you win unimproved.
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Icanhastreebet
Old 09-21-2010, 07:25 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton View Post
seems like easy call to set mine, some times weird things happen and you win unimproved.
pretty much this
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Halv
Old 09-21-2010, 08:20 PM #13 (permalink)  
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20% of the effective stack already in, dead money, fish, possible misclick, just get it in.

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Old 09-30-2010, 03:11 AM #14 (permalink)  
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oskar
Old 10-01-2010, 07:53 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by daven View Post
pretty easy fold.
I think it's a call, but I still fold cos it makes me tilt if I run into KK+, and that costs me more than I potentially gain by calling.
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