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Micro2Macro
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09-20-2010, 11:33 PM
Post subject: 50nl - get it in?
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,463
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what do you guys think the chances of this being a misclick are?
villain is 50/0 over a few hands... he INSTA SNAP LOL clicked it back.
I know lrr's are pretty nutted but we do well vs QQ+,AK and there's a decent amount of dead coin out there. Keep in mind its a pot limit table so not really sure if fish lrr more here or what.
PokerStars Pot-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($50.85)
BB ($44.10)
UTG ($53.35)
UTG+1 ($49.25)
MP1 ($28.75)
MP2 ($19.75)
CO ($55)
Hero (Button) ($108.75)
Preflop: Hero is Button with Q , Q
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 bets $2.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5.75, 2 folds, MP1 raises to $9.25, 1 fold, Hero...
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caddie444
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Full House
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: constantly UTG
Posts: 723
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Meh at best I think you're vs QQ+, AK (which you know you have 40% equity against) and if you shove since you have no FE you need ~ 38% equity vs his range. Thing is he's KK+ here alot so yah nit-fold for me. Chances for a misclick are always pretty low imo
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Don't complain; Just work harder - Randy Pausch (The Last Lecture)
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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fml fold
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
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GOD DAMN WHY CANT I FOLD THIS IN GAME AFSDGSHDFHDHDL
he had KK lfdo. im going to go through my database and find every single hand that got to showdown in a limp re-raised pot and then come to a conclusion on just how god fucking awfully tight villains range really is here.
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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daven
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,805
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pretty easy fold.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,463
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well like, I've actually seen stuff like 77 here before but it's not happening a huge % of the time.
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
Check out my blog here!
"You are a degenerate Gaam-balur"
http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
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daven
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,805
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
well like, I've actually seen stuff like 77 here before but it's not happening a huge % of the time.
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yeah, me too. But, like you said, relative frequencies etc.
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Illfavor
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Full House
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Denton, TX
Posts: 1,152
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Quote:
Originally Posted by daven
pretty easy fold.
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I agree with this message.
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Ich grolle nicht...
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rpm
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: learnin'
Posts: 2,041
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i may be wrong, but i don't think it's really worth trying to factor in how likely it was he misclicked. i mean if it's a high-volume 16/13 reg (ie its super unusual for this player to be UTG limp/min-4betting pre) then it may be worth considering. but 50/0's in my experience do it deliberately, quite often, and largely with hands which they think are the nuts (though, as you mentioned, for some people 88+,AQ+ is the preflop nuts). also, the fact that he limp/min4bet seems to make it more likely to be a deliberate fishy ploy than a misclick, as compared to if he say limped the BU behind 2 previous limpers then min 3bet a squeeze from the blinds.
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rpm
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: learnin'
Posts: 2,041
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when i said:
"50/0's in my experience do it deliberately, quite often, and largely with hands which they think are the nuts"
i meant min-raising in general. not that they deliberately get KK+ UTG quite often or some such stupidity
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Renton
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
Posts: 5,991
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seems like easy call to set mine, some times weird things happen and you win unimproved.
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Icanhastreebet
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: In the big blind, cold calling your opens, making you tilt.
Posts: 995
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton
seems like easy call to set mine, some times weird things happen and you win unimproved.
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pretty much this
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Halv
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pro crastinator
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: No hindsight for the blind.
Posts: 1,842
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20% of the effective stack already in, dead money, fish, possible misclick, just get it in.
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Deanglow
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: lol
Posts: 2,443
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Don't fold QQ to halfstacks regardless of action
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oskar
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: in ur accounts... confiscating ur funz
Posts: 2,452
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Quote:
Originally Posted by daven
pretty easy fold.
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I think it's a call, but I still fold cos it makes me tilt if I run into KK+, and that costs me more than I potentially gain by calling.
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The strengh of a hero is defined by the weakness of his villains.
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