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50NL FR- Riv decision OOP with 10-10

  
 
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caddie444
Old 04-27-2010, 05:38 AM     Post subject: 50NL FR- Riv decision OOP with 10-10 #1 (permalink)  
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 Villain is 26/10 over 200, has a 19% Agress Frq and 0.8 Agg Factor, seems to be playing all of his buttons, and hasn't 3B once FWIW.

I think flop and turn are pretty standard bet/folds vs this guy whose range is still pretty wide and can include all sorts of hands that we are beating.

The river is what I'd like to focus on b/c I'm not sure if I can profitably value bet this hand b/c I don't really see him calling with worse a lot, but he may turn some missed draws into bluffs or something though I haven't seen it from him yet.

Vs someone so passive though maybe c/f river is best?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($110.05)
MP2 ($31.25)
MP3 ($25)
CO ($88.60)
Button ($46.05)
SB ($82.85)
BB ($50)
UTG ($50.50)
Hero (UTG+1) ($50.75)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with ,
1 fold, Hero bets $2, 4 folds, Button calls $2, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.75) , , (2 players)
Hero bets $3, Button calls $3

Turn: ($10.75) (2 players)
Hero bets $8, Button calls $8

River: ($26.75) (2 players)
Hero ???


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Micro2Macro
Old 04-27-2010, 01:56 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 c/f based on timing/sizing
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badgers
Old 04-27-2010, 11:22 PM #3 (permalink)  
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c/c. So many missed draws and he can be randomly betting A7 or something dumb.

More on flop.
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oskar
Old 04-27-2010, 11:34 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Wouldn't expect this guy to bluff missed draws. Plus most of his draws have some pair that he might think has showdown value. I bet 9.

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More on flop.
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badgers
Old 04-27-2010, 11:39 PM #5 (permalink)  
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You think he's just going to check back draws without a pair here? Really?

That said, I think a bet of $9 is good too. It's very unlikely we get bluff-raised ever and he's not going to be able to fold a pair much.
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