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50NL: flopped gutshot (including straight flush)+ flush draw

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 06-29-2007, 08:56 AM     Post subject: 50NL: flopped gutshot (including straight flush)+ flush draw #1 (permalink)  
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 EverestPoker Game #1734791575: Table Berlin-38 - $0.25/$0.50 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:34:17 - 2007/06/28
Seat 1: Meisterhase ($48.50)
Seat 2: burt777 ($47.88)
Seat 4: Torius ($122.70)
Seat 5: jimmy44a ($50.20)
Seat 6: miaopimos ($76.48)
Seat 7: the_executor ($43.00)
Seat 8: Kap1tein ($31.80)
Seat 9: nikser ($71.00)
Seat 10: rewinds ($32.10)
the_executor posts the small blind of $0.25
Kap1tein posts the big blind of $0.50
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to jimmy44a[ ]
nikser folds
rewinds folds
Meisterhase folds
burt777 folds
Torius folds
jimmy44a raises to $2.00
miaopimos calls $2.00
the_executor folds
Kap1tein folds
*** FLOP *** [ ] (pot: $4.5)
jimmy44a bets $4.00
miaopimos calls $4.00
*** TURN *** [ ] [] (pot: $12.5)
jimmy44a checks
miaopimos checks
*** RIVER *** [ ] [] (pot: $12.5)
jimmy44a ????

Villain was tight/aggressive.
Do you bet here on the river? On the flop we have 12 outs (if villain is not also on a flush draw). Would a check raise flop be a better line? Do you bet the river?
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gingerwizard
Old 06-29-2007, 10:09 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 I bet the river as I think he has a flush draw a lot here which is better than yours. Assuming he missed the Q's he is likely to fold a good % of the time making the bet profitable.

I like the flop bet and indeed the check on the turn. I'd worry if the flush came on the river unless the 7c were to fall.
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Fnord
Old 06-29-2007, 10:38 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Bet less on the flop and plan on firing 3 barrels.
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minSim
Old 06-29-2007, 11:37 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Bet turn
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gingerwizard
Old 06-29-2007, 12:42 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by minSim
Bet turn
Betting the turn only makes sense if we definately plan on betting the river no?
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bigspenda73
Old 06-29-2007, 05:25 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 you cannot check the turn and then fire the river and expect it to have much FE on this board.
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Pelion
Old 06-29-2007, 05:45 PM #7 (permalink)  
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As played you never have a Q (or better here). If he wont notice then go ahead and half pot it. Almost anyone knows you dont have it here though.

You could stick out $5 and probably fold out the flush draws but he might still call with a weak pair and he might raise with the missed draw if hes aggressive.
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wouterpoker
Old 06-29-2007, 06:50 PM #8 (permalink)  

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no way im betting this river as played since it is played as if you have a weak hand/draw
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BankItDrew
Old 06-29-2007, 07:04 PM #9 (permalink)  
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 You can't bluff the river if you told him you gave up on the turn. $3 on flop, 3/4 turn, 1/2 river.


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