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400nl flopped boat, thin 3 streets?

  
 
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bikes
Old 08-12-2009, 12:55 AM     Post subject: 400nl flopped boat, thin 3 streets? #1 (permalink)  
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 Villain is a complete unknown to me TheCleaner11, but I'm pretty sure he's a reg.

That all said this spot kinda sucks. I feel like he would have c/r'ed the turn with AK and AT but I'm not entirely sure and the range I'm betting against would be like J9cc and AQ possibly AJ. I feel like he can C/R those hands as well turning them into bluffs which makes made me less inclined to vb this river as well. I'm also not entirely sure he'd call 3 streets with AJ either as all he beats is a bluff and I have like 1 of those in my entire range.


How much are we vbing?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (8 handed) -

SB ($400)
BB ($406)
UTG ($355.50)
UTG+1 ($400)
MP1 ($471.90)
MP2 ($846.40)
Hero (CO) ($410.80)
Button ($1294.90)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 10, 10
4 folds, Hero bets $12, 1 fold, SB calls $10, 1 fold

Flop: ($28) 10, A, A (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $20, SB calls $20

Turn: ($68) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $40, SB calls $40

River: ($148) K (2 players)
SB checks
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Stacks
Old 08-12-2009, 01:26 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 I don't see how we couldn't value bet this river. I think I b/f $111.
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bikes
Old 08-12-2009, 02:01 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 ffs. I screwed up the OP. obv we are betting, i considered checking for all of 3s, the question is how much to bet.
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Deanglow
Old 08-12-2009, 02:52 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 he's capable of c/f the river if he thinks you're a reg but if you are a random to him then we wouldn't. I wouldn't bet more than $120
 
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BankItDrew
Old 08-12-2009, 04:50 AM #5 (permalink)  
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 I like a bet of about $120 as well.

I can't see villain wanting to check raise river with much less than a boat, including flushes of course.


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gametight
Old 08-12-2009, 05:53 PM #6 (permalink)  
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b/f $108
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