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zook
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03-21-2007, 03:13 AM
Post subject: 400NL AA oop line-check - 190BB deep
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 3,676
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Villain like to limp and call raises pre-flop, but hasn't shown down anything that I've seen this session (he had >$1000 when I joined the table). His stats are 29/9/2.8 over a ton of hands. I have position on him at another table and I've been raising a lot pre-flop and I've raised his c-bets a couple times post-flop and gotten him to fold. He doesn't seem pissed, but he's definitely noticed.
Anything you do differently here?
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $2/$4 - 9 players - Converter
Stack sizes:
UTG: $378
UTG+1: $486.90
Hero: $762.40
MP2: $544.90
MP3: $1178.50
CO: $391.40
Button: $458.90
SB: $250.50
BB: $169.20
Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP1 with A A
2 folds, Hero raises to $14, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, 3 folds, BB calls.
Flop: 2 K Q ($44, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $34, MP3 calls, BB folds.
Turn: 6 ($112, 2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $65, Hero calls.
River: 5 ($242, 2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $145, Hero calls.
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Knytestorme
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Flush
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Australia
Posts: 562
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Don't play at these stakes obviously, but why the check on the turn? Fearing KQ/22?
Even with those stats wouldn't he be re-raising pre-flop with KK/QQ to try and get rid of you with a hand like AK?
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silu73
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 1,009
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I don't play FR but I like your line.
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Halv
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pro crastinator
4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: No hindsight for the blind.
Posts: 1,842
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I think you could find a weak fold on the river. It's rare to see someone float in multiway pots and it's rare to see floaters firing two barrels. Which means he's probably valuebetting, and he probably doesn't value bet this river with anything we beat. On the other hand we need to be ahead only like 25% of the time to make the call, but I don't really know if we are.
Either way it seems marginal, so perhaps we should look at other lines. Does anyone like a b/f on the river to get a call out of AK/suspicious Kx?
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zook
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 3,676
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Knytestorme
Don't play at these stakes obviously, but why the check on the turn? Fearing KQ/22?
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Figured I was way ahead (AK/Kx/JT/float) or way behind (KQ/22) and underepping my hand was the best way to get value from hands I was ahead of. I risked giving a free card to JT, which is meh.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Knytestorme
Even with those stats wouldn't he be re-raising pre-flop with KK/QQ to try and get rid of you with a hand like AK?
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Yeah, he def rr's KK/QQ pf. I'm just trying to get value from hands I beat.
Thanks for the replies, keep em coming.
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bair
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Full House
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 953
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i like it
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Da GOAT
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03-21-2007, 03:32 PM
Post subject: Re: 400NL AA oop line-check - 190BB deep
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#7 (permalink)
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by zook
Turn: 6  ( $112, 2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $65, Hero calls.
River: 5  ( $242, 2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $145, Hero calls.
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its just that on river its likely that he would just check behind AK/AQ under PP,no? will he bet these. is a bluff more likely even tho he seems passive (PF may also be postflop).
only flush he could have is AQs, which fits. so i dont think we are ahead very often at all vs this particular opp.
also his bet is fishy, a larger bet=bluff or big hand but a 1/2 pot roughly bet=value, maybe?
Im totally not qualified on this level so i may be too cautious here.
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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Rondavu
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 3,053
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River doesn't scare anyone. You can't fold here. I don't mind your line, if you feel villain has a solid calling range, and standard preflop 3 betting range, which would include AK, the biggest hand in his potential losing range you stand to lose value to by playing this so passively.
I think the board allows you to control the pot which is a perfect size for a one pair winner.
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It's not what's inside that counts. Have you seen what's inside?
Internal organs. And they're getting uglier by the minute.
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zook
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 3,676
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Rondavu
I don't mind your line, if you feel villain has a solid calling range, and standard preflop 3 betting range, which would include AK, the biggest hand in his potential losing range you stand to lose value to by playing this so passively.
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This sentence is a little confusing. AK is probably in his pre-flop 3-bet range, my bad. He might flat call with it for deception, but only a small % of the time. So you think I'm losing value by playing so passively if the best hand I beat here is KJ/AQ/JT?
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JJDAMAN
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: UVIC
Posts: 106
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I usually bet this river hoping to get paid off by a King that would check behind. This obviously doesn't allow JT to bluff, but i think you get looked up by a king always, and sometimes even a queen.
If he raises its probably a fold.
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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hes betting a Kx hand here a lot considering your line.
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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If you are gonna call $145 on the river, why not C/R $90 more to define his hand?
Personally with AA I hate getting to the river.
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