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ChrisBCritter
Old 07-02-2006, 10:21 AM     Post subject: 25NL TT OOP #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is 60/12 over the last 100 hands or so. Postflop he is fairly passive though normally with/without the goods...

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP3 ($25)
CO ($25)
Button ($7.14)
SB ($31.33)
BB ($22.45)
UTG ($25.80)
Hero ($23)
UTG+2 ($34.90)
MP1 ($23.77)
MP2 ($9.75)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with T, T. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, 4 folds.

Flop: ($1.85) 4, 7, 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $2, MP3 calls $2.

Turn: ($5.85) K (2 players)
Hero bets $3, MP3 calls $3.

River: ($11.85) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $15, Hero calls $15.

Final Pot: $41.85

My thoughts: If he flopped the flush, I would've gotten raised on the flop or turn. Flat calls say a draw, or a monster. River over bet stunk. I think I'm more scared of a $5 bet here than this... thoughts??
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Renton
Old 07-02-2006, 12:05 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 I probably checkfold or sometimes checkcall the turn. Betting it is extremely thin, and really does nothing to define villains hand, since he'd call there with a generally equal spread of hands you beat and hands that beat you. As played bet like 3.5 on the river if you want to see a showdown. Any decent players gonna make you for AsXx and bluff you if you check.
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freechus9
Old 07-02-2006, 06:26 PM #3 (permalink)  
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As played I fold that river.
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ChrisBCritter
Old 07-02-2006, 06:39 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Renton
I probably checkfold or sometimes checkcall the turn. Betting it is extremely thin, and really does nothing to define villains hand, since he'd call there with a generally equal spread of hands you beat and hands that beat you. As played bet like 3.5 on the river if you want to see a showdown. Any decent players gonna make you for AsXx and bluff you if you check.
I considered the checkfold or checkcall line, but thought that keeping the aggression going would tell me something, I think he would normally at least mini-raise me here on the turn if he had something, otherwise I'LL put him on AsXx... I can't imagine that betting 3.5 on the river is not much different from checking in this instance. If he's going to make a move, 3.5 isn't going to do anything but tell him that I'm willing to fold if he pushes... Maybe I haven't seen enough people slow playing the nuts and then grossly (sp?) overbetting the river? The over bet just smelled fishy to me...
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ChrisBCritter
Old 07-02-2006, 06:49 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freechus9
As played I fold that river.
Can you give me a little more than that??

Against decent players, a fold is definitely the right move...Against this player though, I felt that this was a bluff more than 50% of the time, so I am winning when I make this call... independent of results...

Which were (for those that need them): (in white)
Villian shows As 2h for A high
Hero wins pot with TT...
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Renton
Old 07-02-2006, 07:03 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 while i think its a bluff there a significant percentage of the time, its by no means more than 50%.

Setting yourself up to call big bluffs like this with highly marginal hands is a recipe for adding more variance to your game without increasing your EV very much.
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dwags222
Old 07-03-2006, 05:55 PM #7 (permalink)  
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just as an aside...i would consider making all your pf raises at 25nl 1$ and up
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