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200NL - ummm what?

  
 
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Keilah
Old 10-01-2008, 04:28 PM     Post subject: 200NL - ummm what? #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is unkown, I'm still new to the level so I don't know if he's a fish or a reg. I'm expecting he'd flat call with most overpairs? He could have 65, 54, 75, A5, or something like that, else it's boats or bluffs. What's the plan if we continue?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($205.05)
MP2 ($233)
MP3 ($197)
CO ($200)
Button ($261.95)
Hero (SB) ($195.50)
BB ($197)
UTG ($113)
UTG+1 ($103.55)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 5, 10
UTG calls $2, 5 folds, Button calls $2, Hero calls $1, BB checks

Flop: ($8) 5, 5, 3 (4 players)
Hero bets $6, 1 fold, UTG calls $6, Button calls $6

Turn: ($26) 8 (3 players)
Hero bets $18, 1 fold, Button raises to $50, Hero...
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STHollywood
Old 10-01-2008, 04:33 PM #2 (permalink)  
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what the hell? what is his range here? I guess suited 5's like you said 45,65,75. But isnt a 5 raising the flop with the flush draw out there? No 8 makes sense to raise b/c you're not calling with worse. I guess you are ahead of most of his 5's and any unlikely 8 and could he have pocket 3's?--should be a pre-flop raise though...

Maybe this guy is just a huge fish and he is raising an 8 for no reason? I dont know...shove!?
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aka_red
Old 10-01-2008, 05:23 PM #3 (permalink)  
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fold pf.
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Keilah
Old 10-01-2008, 05:41 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by reDZill4
fold pf.
agree
misclick
now what?
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aka_red
Old 10-01-2008, 05:48 PM #5 (permalink)  
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pot, 2/3 f, 1/2 f
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ATOTHEC101
Old 10-01-2008, 07:14 PM #6 (permalink)  
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turn is a fold, his range is mainly 33/88 and possibly the occasional 54s,56s that you have beat, though thats not especially likely.
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BankItDrew
Old 10-01-2008, 08:32 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 you line looks more like a 5 than it does a draw... we should assume button is aware of this and doesn't seem to mind.


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ensign_lee
Old 10-01-2008, 10:19 PM #8 (permalink)  
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The only two ways you're winning this hand are if you outkick your opponent or if he has air or currently a flush draw trying to push you out.

The main way that he beats you is if he has 33. I think that probability is relatively small.

Probability of him having a flush draw > probability of him having a 5 > probability of him having 33, imo.

Raise to $100 total. If he has a 5 that you outkick, he'll probably call (or even one that you don't outkick, but it'll make him think). If he has a flush draw, he'll either fold or call. If he has 33, you're fucked and he'll raise in your face, in which case you've saved yourself the difference between $100 and the rest of your stack.

Raise.

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bigspenda73
Old 10-01-2008, 10:32 PM #9 (permalink)  
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 Hello Edmund

the 200nl games play a lot different than they did in 2006 on Party.

Have a nice day.
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badgers
Old 10-01-2008, 10:44 PM #10 (permalink)  
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small pot
oop
no reads
not happy playing for stacks
just move up a level

fold.
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ATOTHEC101
Old 10-02-2008, 12:45 PM #11 (permalink)  
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raising is definitely the worst option by far.
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