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200nl - Middle pair vs narrow range

  
 
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badgers
Old 09-05-2009, 10:44 PM     Post subject: 200nl - Middle pair vs narrow range #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is a regular running 15/12/3.3 with 4% 3bet. On this flop, I feel like it is a decent spot for him to raise with air, since I have to fold the large majority of my opening range here. It wouldn't surprise me if he is capable of bluff raising this flop, although I haven't seen him do it in the past. I believe he will 3bet QQ+ preflop almost always here vs. me, I don't think he would raise AQ for value on this flop, and his raise size looks a little big to be a set. With the combination of all these things, and the fact that there are only 4 possible set combos, I shoved.

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($200.00)
UTG+1 ($200.00)
MP1 ($242.10)
Hero (MP2) ($202.40)
MP3 ($200.00)
CO ($208.00)
BTN ($217.05)
SB ($121.00)
BB ($117.10)

Pre-flop: ($3, 9 players) Hero is MP2
3 folds, Hero raises to $8, MP3 calls $8, 4 folds

Flop: ($19, 2 players)
Hero bets $14, MP3 raises to $45, Hero goes all-in $194.40,
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Deanglow
Old 09-07-2009, 01:10 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 bah even if he is drawing his range has you crushed. Qxss is pretty likely
 
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