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200NL: 2pairs button against MP TAG

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 06-26-2008, 12:32 PM     Post subject: 200NL: 2pairs button against MP TAG #1 (permalink)  
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No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
10 players
Seat 1: CO ($170.70 in chips)
Seat 2: Hero [ 4H,3H ] ($197.00 in chips)
Seat 3: SB ($146.80 in chips)
Seat 4: BB ($203.50 in chips)
Seat 5: UTG ($194.65 in chips)
Seat 6: UTG+1 ($99.05 in chips)
Seat 7: MP1 ($206.05 in chips)
Seat 8: MP2 ($195.00 in chips)
Seat 9: MP3 ($431.50 in chips)
Seat 10: CO+1 ($301.70 in chips)
Converter

Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is Button with 4 3
3 folds, MP1 raises to $6, 3 folds, Hero calls, 2 folds.

Flop: 4 K 3 ($15, 2 players)
MP1 bets $11, Hero raises to $29, MP1 raises to $61, Hero thinking whether to call, CiB or push

villain running like 17/11/1.7. At this point I didn't knew much about him a part from these stats.
We have near the nuts on the flop. I thought of the following options:
- call (good if he 2 barrils air or TP/2nd pair hands, but bad if he is on a FD)
- CiB (he might push over with TP hands, but bad if he is on a FD)
- push (puts the pressure on him, but he will fold TP hands most often)
Dunno ... what would you do?
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ATOTHEC101
Old 06-26-2008, 12:52 PM #2 (permalink)  
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i definitely wouldnt call as to many turn cards kill our action as well as scare us. Id just time it right down like i have a super tough decision with kq or a flush draw and shove it in.
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badgers
Old 06-26-2008, 01:11 PM #3 (permalink)  
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turbo-shove, get called by a flush draw, win.

he's pretty unlikely to be 3bet/folding this flop...
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Keilah
Old 06-26-2008, 07:04 PM #4 (permalink)  
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He's not folding.
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Fnord
Old 06-26-2008, 07:28 PM #5 (permalink)  
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All-in. Even if he folds AA/AK I'm pretty happy with the hand.
 
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jimmy44
Old 06-26-2008, 09:20 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
All-in. Even if he folds AA/AK I'm pretty happy with the hand.
My thougths during the hand exactly
Now, I was wondering if another line would be better.
I pushed and villain folded. I guess he either had AK/KQ (and maybe QQ/JJ) or a FD.
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badgers
Old 06-27-2008, 12:01 AM #7 (permalink)  
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villain was prbs a retard with air nothign else makes sense
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Fnord
Old 06-27-2008, 12:10 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
villain was prbs a retard with air nothign else makes sense
He could be making a big laydown here.

Food for thought: If he calls with AK or AA here, we make $23 worth of EV.
 
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badgers
Old 06-27-2008, 12:13 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
villain was prbs a retard with air nothign else makes sense
He could be making a big laydown here.
While we have a lot of draws on our range 3bet/folding makes absolutely no sense in my opinion.
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Fnord
Old 06-27-2008, 12:14 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
While we have a lot of draws on our range 3bet/folding makes absolutely no sense in my opinion.
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Keilah
Old 06-27-2008, 12:39 AM #11 (permalink)  
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what live is better?

*insert lolface here*
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daven
Old 06-27-2008, 12:56 AM #12 (permalink)  
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push good
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jimmy44
Old 06-27-2008, 09:34 AM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
villain was prbs a retard with air nothign else makes sense
He could be making a big laydown here.
While we have a lot of draws on our range 3bet/folding makes absolutely no sense in my opinion.
I've seen these villain's 3bet / fold with TP hands.
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elipsesjeff
Old 06-27-2008, 06:53 PM #14 (permalink)  
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3betting AK then folding to a shove wouldn't be a bad play here, given our range for shoving this is two pair, sets, AA, and the combo draw, with a random AK thrown in. All of which we are behind with TPTK and really poor equity vs a combo draw. Given the combinations, its likely we have two pair/set over combo draw and folding AK is probably the standard thing to do here unless we're playing a retard.


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badgers
Old 06-28-2008, 01:49 AM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elipsesjeff
3betting AK then folding to a shove wouldn't be a bad play here, given our range for shoving this is two pair, sets, AA, and the combo draw, with a random AK thrown in. All of which we are behind with TPTK and really poor equity vs a combo draw. Given the combinations, its likely we have two pair/set over combo draw and folding AK is probably the standard thing to do here unless we're playing a retard.
lol? 3bet folding is a terrible play, if we have that little equity why are why 3betting??? If we can be shoving draws then 3bet/folding is just the worst play ever how can you not see that?
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