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2/4 4444 river raise sizing

  
 
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aka_red
Old 03-07-2009, 09:55 AM     Post subject: 2/4 4444 river raise sizing #1 (permalink)  
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($321.20)
Button ($400)
SB ($397.50)
BB ($49)
UTG ($608.30)
UTG+1 ($348.15)
MP1 ($469.90)
Hero (MP2) ($958.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 4, 4
UTG calls $4, 2 folds, Hero calls $4, 2 folds, SB calls $2, BB checks

Flop: ($16) 7, 4, 3 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets $12, Hero raises to $44, 2 folds, UTG calls $32

Turn: ($104) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $52, UTG calls $52

River: ($208) 4 (2 players)
UTG bets $72, Hero raises to ...
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elipsesjeff
Old 03-07-2009, 01:30 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 Overshove, if he's calling a raise to 250 I think there is almost as good of a chance he'll call an AI, given I dont think he's calling a raise without a boat anyway.


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badgers
Old 03-07-2009, 01:54 PM #3 (permalink)  
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bikes
Old 03-07-2009, 04:50 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 I like $185ish to try and get value from some stupid overpair that he wont call a shove with.

If he has a straight or a boat we're getting all his money either by shoving or raising.
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mcatdog
Old 03-07-2009, 04:56 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Shoving is not good here. I think a lot of players could lay down a straight to a shove but never if you just make it like $250 or so. Also there's a possibility of a hero call from something dumb.

I think a couple of underboats might call a shove but just call a raise to $250 but they might still shove and that's a small part of his range anyway.
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bigspenda73
Old 03-07-2009, 05:33 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 doesn't he always have a full house here?
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Deanglow
Old 03-07-2009, 06:34 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 I'd go $212; there's a good chance he 3bet shoves a straight here
 
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