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100NL, top two on straight turn

  
 
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pokerfan
Old 07-04-2008, 05:15 PM     Post subject: 100NL, top two on straight turn #1 (permalink)  
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villain is 30/10/1.2. What's the optimal way to proceed from turn on? Sometimes i dont really want to overcommit in small pots.

PokerStars Pot-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 ($31.40)
MP1 ($97.20)
MP2 ($20.50)
MP3 ($102.05)
CO ($98.50)
Button ($114.25)
SB ($97.50)
Hero ($97)
UTG ($102.40)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6, 7.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, 2 folds, MP3 calls $1, 2 folds, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: ($4) 7, 6, 4 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.5, UTG+1 folds, MP3 raises to $6.05, SB folds, Hero raises to $20, MP3 calls $13.95.

Turn: ($44) 5 (2 players)
Hero ?
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Keilah
Old 07-04-2008, 08:59 PM #2 (permalink)  
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that's kinda hard.

87, 55 sure, but he might flat instead of raise flop.
Sets and 53 for the made straight play like this (do you know if he limps 53 in MP?), but he might shove with a set.
I don't see him taking this flop line with any other hands with a 3.

Very likely 88+, esp if you've seen him limp higher pairs.
64 is in there for sure... think he plays 74?

So I think you're behind a little more than you're ahead, and none of the hands you beat will call a bet except the weaker 2p and maybe sometimes overpairs.

Most of his range will bet if checked to, but the part you beat is the part most likely to check.

So I think you should check and consider calling a small bet but folding to a large one.
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badgers
Old 07-05-2008, 09:50 PM #3 (permalink)  
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c/f, maybe call a small bet depending on the sample size you have on him - if that agg. factor is likely accurate I will happily c/f this.
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pokerfan
Old 07-05-2008, 11:04 PM #4 (permalink)  
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okay, guys. As played, we both checked through on the turn. A king came out on the river, i c/c his $20 river bet. Hmmm, this passive guy had 55. Fuck my life, I 'm always tempted to call any medium size river bet in these situations.
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Keilah
Old 07-06-2008, 01:16 AM #5 (permalink)  
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sounds to me like you played it good
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aka_red
Old 07-06-2008, 02:05 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keilah
sounds to me like you played it good
moron, he beats nothing. 3ball to 24.
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jimmy44
Old 07-06-2008, 08:58 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by reDZill4
Quote:
Originally Posted by Keilah
sounds to me like you played it good
moron, he beats nothing. 3ball to 24.
I don't hate the way this hand was played!
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Fnord
Old 07-06-2008, 09:29 AM #8 (permalink)  
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My only insight here is that with so much money behind, there may be value in seeing a turn card before we commit.

Making a monster pot on the flop with 2 pair vs a set is a pretty big difference as the set will hold up better.
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