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100NL Overpair - semi-gay river

  
 
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oskar
Old 05-05-2009, 07:40 PM     Post subject: 100NL Overpair - semi-gay river #1 (permalink)  
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 $0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
FullTiltPoker
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (UTG) ($115.95)
UTG+1 ($26.40)
MP1 ($104.00)
MP2 ($126.55)
MP3 ($20.00)
CO ($70.25)
BTN ($98.50)
SB ($19.00)
BB ($100.00)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 9 players) Hero is UTG
Hero raises to $4, 5 folds, BTN calls $4, 2 folds

Flop: ($9.50, 2 players)
Hero bets $7, BTN calls $7

Turn: ($23.50, 2 players)
Hero bets $19, BTN calls $19

River: ($61.50, 2 players)
Hero ??


Villain is relatively loose - doesn't fold flops that much.
Almost timed out on the turn decision

So he has pretty exactly a pot size bet behind.
Do I make a gay sized b/f?... seems bad
c/c - hoping he's shoveling a missed draw - problem is all 4x except for A4s got me crushed now.
Or c/f and hate life bc he could easily have a FD here.
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daven
Old 05-05-2009, 09:49 PM     Post subject: Re: 100NL Overpair - semi-gay river #2 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oskar
Villain is relatively loose - doesn't fold flops that much.
Almost timed out on the turn decision
you running a HUD? if so, stats please.
Also, put him on some ranges pre-flop and following streets.
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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oskar
Old 05-06-2009, 12:47 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 17/7 over 40 hands.
Low agg, no 3-bets so far.
on his PTR page he has 4k hands since January - between 50 and 200NL

Ranges blah
I'll start with the flop bc preflop is ridiculous.
34s,56s,67s,78s, A6s, A4s, 33-AA
6s7s, 6sAs are now even more likely to call, but I think he continues with most of his range. minus some 4x without FD.
River is where it gets kind of stupid, because all I really beat now are the overpairs, A4...
At this point I guess I can answer it myself...

2 x 34s
3 x 45s
2 x 56s
3 x 67s
4 x 78s
1 x 33
3 x 44
3 x 55
3 x 66
6 x 77

30 x I loose

88-AA
36x I win, 1 I split
KK is a little less likely...
A4, A6 are done on the river... I guess

I could do the flushes that might push now, but they're kind of limited (see my hand) - so c/c seems very bad now.
blah... looks like a c/f...

I'm just kind of in this mindset that he pretty much knows I have an overpair if I check... and really how bad can you be not to shove your entire range there, but they don't do it, right?

Maybe a good time for an awkward block/value bet for 1/4 pot or something?
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lNormajean
Old 05-06-2009, 02:51 AM #4 (permalink)  
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fold pre, aces never win
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Old 05-06-2009, 12:48 PM #5 (permalink)  
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gaybet/fold, this guy won't bluff you but he'll call with some overpairs
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Galiana
Old 05-14-2009, 11:53 PM #6 (permalink)  
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with this posibility of Str8 and flush draw.. u need to raise way more on Flop.
I agree,gay bet on flop.
if u cannot spot the sucker on the first half hour at the table,you are the sucker.
 
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Fnord
Old 05-15-2009, 07:11 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Against a tighter player I bet here.

Against this clown I'm checking.

Think about the sorts of hands they'll have here.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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