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100NL Overpair facing flop lead

  
 
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nogenius
Old 07-25-2006, 02:49 AM     Post subject: 100NL Overpair facing flop lead #1 (permalink)  
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nogenius
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 ($119.30)
MP1 ($96)
MP2 ($108.50)
MP3 ($103.30)
Hero ($108.75)
Button ($35)
SB ($126.35)
BB ($70.55)
UTG ($19.70)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T, T.
2 folds, MP1 calls $1, 1 fold, MP3 calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 3 folds, MP1 calls $4, MP3 calls $4.

Flop: ($16.50) 7, 2, 9 (3 players)
MP1 checks, MP3 bets $10, Hero ???

---

Villian is a 54/5 over 30 hands.

What's your move here?
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Jay67s
Old 07-25-2006, 03:02 AM #2 (permalink)  
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reraise to 23 -- probably call the all in (based on his stats)
if he was 18/8 I would fold to the all in

you have to raise here, alot of scare cards can come on turn.
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AHiltz
Old 07-25-2006, 01:26 PM #3 (permalink)  
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68 would make this play. Take away his draw. I don't think a set leads on this board.
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djzcko
Old 07-25-2006, 02:47 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Based on his stats and that there is no clear draw on the board except maybe the str8, I would re-raise this bet to $25. If he raises you all-in, call. You will win these pots more often than you lose...he probably has TPMK or a str8 draw. A set check/raises this board from EP.
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bair
Old 07-25-2006, 03:36 PM #5 (permalink)  
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bair
$32
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