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pokerfan
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10-13-2009, 03:34 AM
Post subject: 100NL, is my set line OK in this situation?
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: NS, Canada
Posts: 1,736
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villian is 14/10/8 over 200 hands. Is there any merit of raising at some point in this hand given that his FR UTG range is pretty strong.
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (UTG+1) ($100.45)
MP1 ($100)
MP2 ($94.60)
MP3 ($134.40)
CO ($88.45)
Button ($106.80)
SB ($100)
BB ($97.40)
UTG ($100)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 5 , 5
UTG bets $3, Hero calls $3, 3 folds, CO calls $3, 3 folds
Flop: ($10.50) J, Q , 5 (3 players)
UTG bets $7, Hero calls $7, 1 fold
Turn: ($24.50) K (2 players)
UTG bets $15, Hero calls $15
River: ($54.50) 2 (2 players)
UTG bets $26, Hero calls $26
Total pot: $106.50
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,546
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I'd jam over this river bet sizing
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rpm
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: maaaaaaaaaaate
Posts: 2,049
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i'm an utter fish so obviously what i say is probably wrong. but, what hands does he raise utg and fire 3 streets with that we can beat here? only hand i can think of is AK. which is a questionable OOP river bet in itself.
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bikes
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a hot damn mess
Administrator
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 2,460
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by bigspenda73
I'd jam over this river bet sizing
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+1 I don't think he's calling much but I think he rarely if ever has us beat here.
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
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TBH I probs just call. We're really letting him off the hook if he has KQ but he may even lay that down. I think shoving is really thin and I want to reduce variance and also I really want to see what he has!
I agree that his sizing indicates that we have the best hand a ton, but we're getting paid off by worse so rarely and it is still possible he has us beat. He basically has to put us on exactly TT to make a call with worse.
Does anybody else think preflop is not standard? Against a decent reg I would just dump this unless there are some fishy players behind and no habitual squeezers.
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3k post - Return of the blog!
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,546
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yea PF is a fold fo sho
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pokerfan
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: NS, Canada
Posts: 1,736
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I called his 3x raise from UTG1 cuz there's one big donk sitting in BB. Definitely not standard from this position.I was a little bit scared to jam over his seemingly weak river bet with fifth nuts.
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aka_red
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Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: house
Posts: 903
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I think you should raise the turn.
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[11:11] <+bikes> bitches love your face
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by reDZill4
I think you should raise the turn.
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Really? On this dry board that just seems like an easy way to get stacked by better and get him to snapfold all worse...
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aka_red
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Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: house
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by badgers
Quote:
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Originally Posted by reDZill4
I think you should raise the turn.
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Really? On this dry board that just seems like an easy way to get stacked by better and get him to snapfold all worse... |
How are you expecting this to change on the river? I think if anything it gets worse on the river.
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[11:11] <+bikes> bitches love your face
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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That's why I'm calling river. By calling turn we let him maybe vbet again with AA/AK (or he may c/c those hands) and we keep random bluffs (although rare) in his range. If we raise at any point in the hand we're crushed by his calling range
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BankItDrew
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min raise turn = 3/4 psb shove river?
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