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100nl - I think I may have botched this hand
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Micro2Macro
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10-27-2009, 09:40 PM
Post subject: 100nl - I think I may have botched this hand
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,460
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Probably like the 4000th hand of the day so I dunno what exactly was going through my head, I'll start off with the reads:
The PFR is 18/16/2.5 with a 40% ATS over 383. We have no history other than me 3betting him a few times from the blinds and him folding. He has a 60% cbet over this sample.
The CO is xxLoggerRythymxx. 14/10/3.5 over 2k Seems a bit tricky/spewy, I've seen him call some marginal hands to 3bets in position (QTs, J9s etc). We don't have any history really, we've 3bet each other a little but haven't gotten into any 4b/5b warring. His WTSD is 23% over this sample.
So I unintentionally ended up taking an unusual amount of time to call the flop. I pause for 3-4 seconds on the turn before checking. The PFR then checks pretty fast. CO thinks for a momement before checking (probably nothing just from playing alot of tables).
I lead river quickly...
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($110.85)
Button ($98.05)
Hero (SB) ($100)
BB ($47.85)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($126.40)
MP1 ($101.70)
MP2 ($203.60)
Preflop: Hero is SB with T , T
3 folds, MP2 bets $4, CO calls $4, 1 fold, Hero calls $3.50, 1 fold
Flop: ($13) 7 , Q , 2 (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $8, CO calls $8, Hero calls $8
Turn: ($37) K (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks, CO checks
River: ($37) 6 (3 players)
Hero bets $26...
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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check/shove seems better than this. Yeah you may get folds from AQ/JJ but I think you have the best hand enough and MP2 might just be nitty enough postflop to turn up with KJ/AK which probably isn't folding..
I don't think either player can ever call a check/shove though, unless MP2 has 66. Seems like a better line all round.
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badgers
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Spewing
Posts: 3,372
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Also I probably 3bet/shove pre this given dynamic. mp2 can be 4bet bluffing given history and logger is possibly gonna play back retardedly if he's as spewy as I've been told.
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