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100NL, is this a good DB & trip barrel spot?

  
 
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pokerfan
Old 09-04-2009, 03:58 AM     Post subject: 100NL, is this a good DB & trip barrel spot? #1 (permalink)  
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villian is a regular running 13/10/5 with ATS 28%. His cbet% is 80%. Should i follow up on the turn & river given that my perceived c/r range includes lots of nut hands? Any thoughts? Is leading on the flop better than c/r in this spot?
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UTG+1 ($11.60)
MP1 ($48.80)
MP2 ($27.25)
MP3 ($43.25)
CO ($111.55)
Button ($103.60)
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Preflop: Hero is BB with K, Q
5 folds, CO bets $3.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.50

Flop: ($7.50) 9, 10, 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $5, Hero raises $17.50, CO calls $12.50

Turn: ($42.50) 10 (2 players)
Hero ?
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badgers
Old 09-04-2009, 09:48 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Turn is a terrible, terrible card, give up. His range is stronger than yours here since he can have T8-AT, 87 and 66/99/TT. You are repping 66/99/TT which is 7 combos, unless you call preflop with 87s here. If you bet again I think you can maybe get him to fold pair+gutshots that he might call flop raise with ie 97,98,88,77,67,68, but that's a small part of his range. I wouldn't be surprised if he called turn with JJ+ also since you are repping such a tiny range and there's no way I want to triple barrel here.
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Old 09-04-2009, 10:54 AM #3 (permalink)  
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this is a good c/f spot because a T almost never hits your range
even if YOU c/r AT here for value that doesn't mean anyone will ever give you credit for it
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BankItDrew
Old 09-04-2009, 03:54 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 It's not horrible because villain has to make a sick call without a ten if you fire big on turn.


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badgers
Old 09-04-2009, 04:15 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I think a turn call for villain with a T is pretty standard since hero is repping such a tiny range.
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Old 09-04-2009, 09:27 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by BankItDrew
It's not horrible because villain has to make a sick call without a ten if you fire big on turn.
it's a sick call if he has JJ+ here? I don't think so

and worse hands than Tx just fold flop nobody is peeling 9x unless he has a gutshot so it's only 98s/97s that we can expect to fold on the turn
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