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100NL: flopped trips against semi-loose villain

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 05-28-2008, 08:36 AM     Post subject: 100NL: flopped trips against semi-loose villain #1 (permalink)  
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No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
9 players
Seat 1: SB ($132.05 in chips)
Seat 2: BB ($96.50 in chips)
Seat 3: UTG ($226.50 in chips)
Seat 4: UTG+1 ($126.30 in chips)
Seat 5: MP1 ($100.00 in chips)
Seat 6: MP2 ($104.65 in chips)
Seat 7: CO+1 ($97.00 in chips)
Seat 8: Hero[ 6S,4S ] ($101.35 in chips)
Seat 9: BU ($304.80 in chips)
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Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is CO with 6 4
3 folds, MP2 raises to $2, MP3 folds, Hero calls, 3 folds.

Flop: A 6 6 ($5.5, 2 players)
MP2 bets $4, Hero raises to $12, MP2 raises to $26.5, Hero ???

villain was running 23/13/3.
I'm mostly putting villain on TPGK/TPTK or FD. Do you flat call here or push?
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Keilah
Old 05-28-2008, 09:05 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I think a push is good here. He'll mostly fold and you'll take a decent but not-huge pot, but that's fine. He'll be making a big mistake if he calls with anything but AA, and since he may put you on the flush draw it is possible he'll call.
Of course, a call from you also looks like the FD. But if you call and a diamond or an A hits, what do you do?
Calling is probably higher variance and I'm not sure which is more +EV, so I'd likely go with shoving.
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Old 05-28-2008, 11:44 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Hero shoves. Your range of course comfortably beats his range, and in shoving you are far defying him any sort of good odds to draw to the flush.
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Keilah
Old 05-28-2008, 06:03 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Yes that much is obvious, but will it make the most $$ in the long run?
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d0zer
Old 05-28-2008, 06:27 PM #5 (permalink)  
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d0zer is a jewel in the roughd0zer is a jewel in the roughd0zer is a jewel in the roughd0zer is a jewel in the rough
 I think AJ+ is most likely here, with a little weight on KdQd or KdJd.

I don't think he'd lay down AQ/AK to a push as he'd probably put you on a lower ace or a FD instead of a 6. His flop strength really suggests that he's ready to get it in and I think you're good here more than not.

A call here isn't terrible I think. There's 9-11 diamonds you don't wanna see, and 2-3 aces that would slow things down for either of you, so there's roughly a 25% chance of a turn card coming that slows down one or both of you. Maybe that's how to extract the most out of AT/AJ, but AQ/AK is probably ready to get'er in here...
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ATOTHEC101
Old 05-28-2008, 09:20 PM #6 (permalink)  
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If hes remotely bad or has any calling station tendencies i like a 5 bet to around 60 hoping he makes a mistake with a big ace, but if hes a good player who can make difficult folds i dont mind flat calling this and getting it in on a non ace turn, i feel his range is predominantly good aces here so hes likely drawing to 2 outs or less but if a diamond were to fall on the turn i still wouldnt contemplate folding so calling for max profit does bring a risk.
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DoomswitchOn
Old 05-28-2008, 10:43 PM #7 (permalink)  

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I think either play is fine long run. EV wise it is probably very close with either play.
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jimmy44
Old 05-29-2008, 08:25 AM #8 (permalink)  
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 I pushed and villain folded.
I think he had a medium ace or FD.
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