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100NL: flop nut FD + overcards - fold to aggression?

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 01-16-2008, 04:24 PM     Post subject: 100NL: flop nut FD + overcards - fold to aggression? #1 (permalink)  
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 EverestPoker Game #2648101895: Table Moroni-4 -
$0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 00:16:03 - 2008/01/13
Seat 1: opium1102 ($187.85)
Seat 2: Hero ($230.45)
Seat 3: villain ($137.00)
Seat 4: Peske ($71.60)
Seat 5: ibox777 ($30.50)
Seat 6: fritz2002 ($36.10)
Seat 7: Borika27 ($81.50)
Seat 8: mihaly15 ($141.10)
Seat 9: nelis777 ($89.70)
Seat 10: witwater ($115.91)
opium1102 posts the small blind of $0.50
dutchn00b posts the big blind of $1.00
The button is in seat #10
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero[A Q]
villain raises to $4.00
Peske folds
ibox777 folds
fritz2002 folds
Borika27 folds
mihaly15 folds
nelis777 folds
witwater folds
opium1102 calls $3.50
Hero calls $3.00
*** FLOP *** [8 2 7] (pot: $12)
opium1102 checks
Hero checks
villain bets $8.00
opium1102 folds
Hero raises to $19.50
villain raises to $68.00
Hero ???

I played around 1000 hands against villain, so we know a bit how each others plays. I seem like straight forward aggressive player (maybe villain hasn't notice that though). If villain has stats on me it would be something like 18/8/3.
Villain seem to be 15/10/4 and lately seemed to C-bet almost every flop.
I think the only question here is whether to push or fold?
Call PF OOP is meh.
Can we put villain only or 77/88/87/AA/KK/QQ/JJ (maybe 22), maybe also T9s.
what do you do here?
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Fnord
Old 01-16-2008, 05:53 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Rondavu
Old 01-16-2008, 05:59 PM #3 (permalink)  
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LOL, ya just stack off. 9-15 outs with $25ish invested. Good luck.
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Internal organs. And they're getting uglier by the minute.
 
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spoonitnow
Old 01-16-2008, 07:56 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Easy spot to stack off.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ripptyde
I only have 2 simple rules when I am coaching a new student.

Rule # 1: don't ask questions

Rule # 2: don't ask questions

I have no interest in discussing strategy with a protege'. Your job is to remain quiet and listen. I have a very systematic approach that I will share with the right candidate and I promise that I will turn you into a force of nature and show you elements of the game of poker that you never knew existed.
 
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jimmy44
Old 01-18-2008, 12:27 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 Thanks for the reply!

Quote:
Originally Posted by spoonitnow
Easy spot to stack off.
This is what I thought.
Basically here if we put a very tight range to villain to QQ+, 87s, 88 77 we have 35% equity. If we add JJ then it's near 39%.
The put being of $52 + $48 (villain's re-raise) = $100.
villain would have $65 more and so we would be putting $113 to win a possible $170, which is about 1-1.5 = 40%.
Therefore, I think it's a call as we should take in consideration that villain can bluff.
Is this thinking wrong?
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spoonitnow
Old 01-18-2008, 01:36 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmy44
Thanks for the reply!

Quote:
Originally Posted by spoonitnow
Easy spot to stack off.
This is what I thought.
Basically here if we put a very tight range to villain to QQ+, 87s, 88 77 we have 35% equity. If we add JJ then it's near 39%.
The put being of $52 + $48 (villain's re-raise) = $100.
villain would have $65 more and so we would be putting $113 to win a possible $170, which is about 1-1.5 = 40%.
Therefore, I think it's a call as we should take in consideration that villain can bluff.
Is this thinking wrong?
If you call and miss the turn then your hand loses a lot of value. Just get it in here.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ripptyde
I only have 2 simple rules when I am coaching a new student.

Rule # 1: don't ask questions

Rule # 2: don't ask questions

I have no interest in discussing strategy with a protege'. Your job is to remain quiet and listen. I have a very systematic approach that I will share with the right candidate and I promise that I will turn you into a force of nature and show you elements of the game of poker that you never knew existed.
 
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