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100NL: flop: Nut FD + Overcard

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 03-07-2008, 03:19 PM     Post subject: 100NL: flop: Nut FD + Overcard #1 (permalink)  
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No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1.00
10 players
Seat 1: SB ($99.00 in chips)
Seat 2: BB ($65.15 in chips)
Seat 3: UTG ($188.40 in chips)
Seat 4: UTG+1 ($100.00 in chips)
Seat 5: MP1 ($128.70 in chips)
Seat 6: MP2 ($105.25 in chips)
Seat 7: Hero [ 10S,AS ] ($105.95 in chips)
Seat 8: CO+1 ($113.45 in chips)
Seat 9: CO ($79.10 in chips)
Seat 10: BU ($59.55 in chips)
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Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is MP3 with T A
3 folds, MP2 calls, Hero raises to $5, CO+1 folds, CO calls, 2 folds, BB calls, MP2 folds.

Flop: 6 2 K ($16.25, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $10, Button raises to $20, BB folds, Hero ???

villain was 70/10/2 (0.9 flop)
Do you think we have any FE on the flop, with that huge station, for a push?
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d0zer
Old 03-07-2008, 04:00 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 I don't think you've got any FE vs this passive of a villain showing aggression.

He did however give you nice odds to chase with that minraise so...take it & see a turn?
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dev
Old 03-07-2008, 06:44 PM #3 (permalink)  
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It really depends on the sample set you have on the villain too.

If he's got those stats over 50 hands, yeah flat and hope he keeps paying off if you hit a spade.

A lot of times that raise is a pre-blocking bet for the turn, he might actually have a smaller flush draw here.
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spoonitnow
Old 03-07-2008, 07:12 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Against this villain, since he flat called preflop and then raised the flop, I don't think you gain much from a push here. Against a lower flush draw, it just pushes him out of a spot where you can easily double up if the spade comes. Against a set or two pair you're putting it in with the worst of it. Against a bare king (which I think is the minority of the time) it's doubtful that he'll call but you're also not allowing him to make future bet-sizing mistakes like the one he has made here.
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pokerfan
Old 03-07-2008, 09:44 PM #5 (permalink)  
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call and pay the man monies. dont get cure and play fancy here
FD+ one over is not justified to shove over your loose villain.
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jimmy44
Old 03-08-2008, 08:15 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Would you push on a 15/8/3 villain? Even with only one overcard?
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dev
Old 03-08-2008, 03:24 PM #7 (permalink)  
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probably.
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