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100NL Flop NFD + overcards vs. maniac

  
 
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nogenius
Old 07-28-2006, 04:52 AM     Post subject: 100NL Flop NFD + overcards vs. maniac #1 (permalink)  
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nogenius
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 ($47.85)
Hero ($100)
MP2 ($70)
MP3 ($120.35)
CO ($235.75)
Button ($83.40)
SB ($52.35)
BB ($163.20)
UTG ($172.90)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, Q.
UTG calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $4.5, MP2 calls $4.50, 5 folds, UTG calls $3.50.

Flop: ($15) 5, 5, 2 (3 players)
UTG bets $9, Hero ???

---

Villian is a loose 50/11 over 15 hands.

What's your move here?
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Miffed22001
Old 07-28-2006, 04:55 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 raise, you get a free turn unless he three bets you or flopped a boat
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Fnord
Old 07-28-2006, 05:45 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Call, he thinks his pair is good.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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Ravageur
Old 07-28-2006, 08:56 AM #4 (permalink)  
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I raise here. Villain is definitely not good enough to lead out with a boat, which means that you're leading anything under QQ and add a touch of fold equity into that and you want to play this hand strong.

I raise 3.5X his raise and bet any turn strong for 3/4 pot bet.

And since we're putting him on a mid-pair, any overcards + your agression will often get him off his hand on the turn or river, regardless of whether you made your hand or not which you will about 55% of the time.
Family Cruise IMO
 
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Genitruc
Old 07-28-2006, 09:12 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Genitruc is an unknown quantity at this point
 other thing to consider is that this is likely a "lead into that fucker cuz he definitely missed that flop"

so he's likely gonna just let it go.

either that or he flopped a monster and even then you're only dead to a boat.

calling sux imo
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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