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100nl deep, flop double gutshot, hit on turn

  
 
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daven
Old 11-23-2008, 12:38 AM     Post subject: 100nl deep, flop double gutshot, hit on turn #1 (permalink)  
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 villain is dis astro - wannabe laggy 25-13, 3-bets 4%, doesn't fold to c-bets enough (big leak), bets a LOT of turns (Turn Aggression frequency 44%).

This board is safe for me, as long as the river doesn't pair. His range is complicated given pre-flop sb limp - i think his range is weak, doesn't 3-bet if i re-raise this turn unless he has a set, probably folds 34...

we;re deep and i want the chance to play for stacks
Thoughts on how best to achieve this? Also comments on my flop play please!

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 ($219.35)
CO ($226.80)
Button ($144)
SB ($239.35)
Hero (BB) ($187.65)
UTG ($100.30)
UTG+1 ($106.85)
MP1 ($101.50)
MP2 ($51.30)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5, 7
3 folds, MP2 calls $1, 3 folds, SB calls $0.50, Hero checks

Flop: ($3) 3, A, 4 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, 1 fold, SB raises to $8, Hero calls $5

Turn: ($19) 6 (2 players)
SB bets $13,
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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nutsinho
Old 11-23-2008, 01:10 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 raise
My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
 
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daven
Old 11-23-2008, 01:16 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nutsinho
raise
how much? i went to $40 - thoughts?
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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Parasurama
Old 11-23-2008, 02:14 AM #4 (permalink)  
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If we weren't so deep I would say just call on this rainbow board repping an ace calling down. But I don't see a reasonable way to get AI on the river if we don't raise the turn. $40 is good. I might raise more (~$49-$52) just because I think he has a very strong hand here, I think this is at least aces up and probably a set, and I want to induce a shove/be able to bet more on the river.
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daven
Old 11-23-2008, 09:12 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Parasurama
If we weren't so deep I would say just call on this rainbow board repping an ace calling down. But I don't see a reasonable way to get AI on the river if we don't raise the turn. $40 is good. I might raise more (~$49-$52) just because I think he has a very strong hand here, I think this is at least aces up and probably a set, and I want to induce a shove/be able to bet more on the river.
been thinking about this.

Calling a check-raise, then raising the check-raise c-bet is an incredibly strong line to be taking

Feels as though if I'm going to raise then I should be raising fake scared (like to $26-$30) or huge. Raising to $50 suggests set+++ and this guy may be kinda bad, but he's not THAT stupid.
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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badgers
Old 11-23-2008, 12:52 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Def raise but as you say he's probably going to think you're not balancing a large raise with bluffs. I'd say $30-$35 is probably better than $40 and if he 3bet we can dance.
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Parasurama
Old 11-23-2008, 06:26 PM #7 (permalink)  
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When I raise $50 I have a wider range than when I raise less, because raising less means that I'm not worried about any draws he might have. I don't make weak raises often, but if you do this might be a more profitable play.
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