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100NL - Bottom set on drawy board vs reg

  
 
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Keilah
Old 07-13-2008, 10:17 PM     Post subject: 100NL - Bottom set on drawy board vs reg #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is outside_lol, a 20/14/2.6 reg I recently stacked with q9 vs his KK when I open raised BU, he 3bet, I 4bet, he flatted with KK and flop came q9x and he shoved.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($246.05)
MP3 ($99)
CO ($112.50)
Button ($104.80)
SB ($168.35)
BB ($94.50)
UTG ($194.65)
UTG+1 ($71)
MP1 ($99)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 8, 8.
3 folds, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, CO calls $4, 3 folds.

Flop: ($9.50) 9, J, 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, CO calls $7.

Turn: ($23.50) T (2 players)
Hero bets $16, CO calls $16.

River: ($55.50) J (2 players)

Thoughts so far? TBH i don't know why I would bet that turn.
River line?
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Muzzard
Old 07-13-2008, 10:26 PM #2 (permalink)  
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CRAI I thinks
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Keilah
Old 07-13-2008, 10:29 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Muzzard
CRAI I thinks
Any worse hands call the AI on a paired board?
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badgers
Old 07-13-2008, 10:46 PM #4 (permalink)  
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no and also I think he's going to be checking behind a lot w/ Qs.

Wierd as it sounds I think without history you have to bet/fold cos I just don't see him shoving anything other than better FHs here.
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Fnord
Old 07-13-2008, 11:00 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keilah
Any worse hands call the AI on a paired board?
Who the fuck knows. I think you'd love to give him a chance to make a hero call though.

That said, bet/shove is still a pretty good line.
 
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Muzzard
Old 07-14-2008, 12:14 AM #6 (permalink)  
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How is he not raising a set/2P/straight on this flop?
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badgers
Old 07-14-2008, 12:36 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Muzzard
How is he not raising a set/2P/straight on this flop?
good point. I dunno I still don't expect to get payed off by worse very often at all and he's going to check behind too much w/ a queen and he'll still turn up w/ JT/TT/J9 sometimes.

Actually I think 2p2 wins this w/ $25/call...
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Deanglow
Old 07-14-2008, 12:39 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badgers
no and also I think he's going to be checking behind a lot w/ Qs.

Wierd as it sounds I think without history you have to bet/fold cos I just don't see him shoving anything other than better FHs here.
omg no

I think a check on the turn is fine as played bet big on the river.
 
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badgers
Old 07-14-2008, 12:42 AM #9 (permalink)  
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I really don't think he's shoving this river vey much at all, he's a decent thinking 20/14 not some maniac. I'm getting more confused by this hand it's a wierd spot.
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