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100NL, AQS TPTK +nuts flush draw facing a turn shove

  
 
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pokerfan
Old 10-17-2008, 02:57 AM     Post subject: 100NL, AQS TPTK +nuts flush draw facing a turn shove #1 (permalink)  
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villain had donkish stats and limped in a lot. Is life this tough?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com



SB ($72.05)
BB ($100)
UTG ($96.50)
MP1 ($164.05)
Hero (MP2) ($98.50)
CO ($100)
Button ($110.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, Q
UTG calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5, 4 folds, UTG calls $4

Flop: ($11.50) 5, 9, 2 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $8, UTG calls $8

Turn: ($27.50) A (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $17, UTG raises to $83.50 (All-In), Hero ?
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pokerfan
Old 10-17-2008, 03:13 AM #2 (permalink)  
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villain is also stationy.
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bikes
Old 10-17-2008, 03:35 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 $39 to win $128
31% equity to make a call slightly +ev

Board: 5c 9d 2d As
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.281% 27.31% 00.00% 62655 0.00 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 72.718% 72.81% 00.00% 167041 0.00 { 99, 55, 22, A9s, 95s, A9o, 95o }

Thats all in his range that beats you. If hes ever got like a combo draw its probably a call. It's close. That being said hes a station give that read I'd probably make a very tight fold.
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Fnord
Old 10-17-2008, 09:32 AM #4 (permalink)  
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I'd call $50 for sure. Maybe $60. Fuck it, he sucks, I have a hand, let's give him action.
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Keilah
Old 10-17-2008, 12:03 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I put him on AK, 2pair, or a set and see I don't have enough equity.

Stationy donks almost always play draws passive and shove "the nuts" like this.
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Old 10-17-2008, 05:39 PM #6 (permalink)  
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you don't have TPTK
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wakeup
Old 10-21-2008, 06:01 AM #7 (permalink)  
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im calling if he's a donk, could be any A he floated with
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