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100nl - akward turn due to half stack nit douche

  
 
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Micro2Macro
Old 03-21-2010, 07:43 AM     Post subject: 100nl - akward turn due to half stack nit douche #1 (permalink)  
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 villain is 15/11 and never gets out of line postflop (half stacking faggot ftw)

so turn is tricky cuz like .. I think I can c/f

thoughts?

48% total fold to cbet, doesn't 3bet much preflop though I think AA/KK is out and QQ is a meh sometimes sorta thing. utg+1 is a big fish who's actually folding like 78% or so to cbets.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 ($50)
CO ($211.30)
Button ($100)
SB ($100)
BB ($100)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($216.55)
Hero (MP1) ($112.50)
MP2 ($73.60)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q, K
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, Hero bets $4, 1 fold, MP3 calls $4, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $3

Flop: ($13.50) 10, 5, Q (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $8, MP3 calls $8, 1 fold

Turn: ($29.50) 3 (2 players)
Hero..
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caddie444
Old 03-22-2010, 12:30 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 Well, I think it comes down to whether you can put hands like AK or JJ into his range.

Vs QQ,TT,55,AQs,KJs,AQo,KJo we have ~37% on the turn

If we add AK and AKs to ^ we have ~51%

If we add JJ to ^ we have ~57%

Thing is he likely folds his JJ and AK hands to turn bets (if he has them at all)

I wouldn't really expect this player to turn KJ/AK/JJ into a bluff, and I think we can probably discount him having KJ quite a bit.

I like c/f


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