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100nl: AKs on J44 board OOP

  
 
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Stacks
Old 10-19-2008, 10:33 PM     Post subject: 100nl: AKs on J44 board OOP #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 42/0/2.5 over 30 hands. I've seen him raise two c-bets in the few hands we have together. If the flop c/c okay given the knowledge that he raises often, and the fact I'm probably ahead of a fair amount of hands he is betting that flop with? What about the turn c/r?



$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Thuggyyy ($157.55)
UTG+1 emmi1980 ($35.15)
MP1 checkfoldyou ($36.20)
MP2 WojtasPolak ($100.00)
MP3 DENIS111111 ($61.80)
CO dudetristen ($112.25)
BTN 10-7Player ($114.95)
SB zz94 ($132.50)
BB Hero ($102.10)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 9 players) Hero is BB
2 folds, checkfoldyou calls $1 ($35.20), 1 fold, DENIS111111 calls $1 ($60.80), 3 folds, Hero raises to $6 ($95.10), checkfoldyou folds ($35.20), DENIS111111 calls $5 ($55.80)

Flop: ($13.50, 2 players)
Hero checks ($96.10), DENIS111111 bets $8 ($47.80), Hero calls $8 ($88.10)

Turn: ($29.50, 2 players)
Hero checks ($88.10), DENIS111111 bets $17 ($30.80), Hero raises to $79 ($9.10), DENIS111111 goes all-in $30.80 ($0.00)

River: ($156.30, 2 players)

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Keilah
Old 10-20-2008, 09:16 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Keilah
Have you seen him bet pot (slightly over actually) a lot of times? Usually when donks bet small and then pot they're real strong, altho some of the aggro ones do it as bluffs.

C/r I think I sually like, but with his betsize and the fact he's a donk, I don't think you have enough FE. If he'd bet $20, sure.

How often do you figure he folds? You probably have 28ish% equity against his calling range.
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wakeup
Old 10-21-2008, 06:00 AM #3 (permalink)  
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wakeup
small sample, id juz b/f the flop

dont like making plays vs unknownss
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