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100nl ajs hits flush turn, river line?

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daven

02-06-2009, 06:11 AM Post subject: 100nl ajs hits flush turn, river line?

#1 (permalink)

Straight Flush

Join Date: Aug 2007

Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up

Posts: 5,813

villain is a non-reg fish, 35-15 over a small sample (about 100hands). He has displayed weakness and a willingness to fold so far this session.
Note that we are quite deep here. He's looking a lot like a set on the turn - should I bet the turn a lot harder? How about river bet sizing, any value in a shove?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($89.30)
Hero (Button) ($199.75)
SB ($100)
BB ($96.50)
UTG ($195)
UTG+1 ($93.70)
MP1 ($128.70)
MP2 ($243.70)
MP3 ($48.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J

, A

2 folds, MP1 calls $1, MP2 calls $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, 3 folds, MP2 calls $4.50

Flop: ($13.50) 4

, 6

, 5

(2 players)
MP2 bets $4, Hero calls $4

Turn: ($21.50) 3

(2 players)
MP2 bets $9, Hero raises to $36, MP2 calls $27

River: ($93.50) 9

(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $70, MP2 calls $70

Total pot: $233.50 | Rake: $3

don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

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BankItDrew

02-06-2009, 07:05 AM

#2 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Oct 2005

Location: Losing Prop Bets

Posts: 2,789

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Yes. There is a lot of value in shoving.

Looks like you have 1.5 PSB behind and seems like he loves the turn board.

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Miffed22001

02-06-2009, 05:41 PM

#3 (permalink)

Straight Flush

Join Date: Jun 2005

Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!

Posts: 8,181

id tank hard - then shove
however - i dont know if i raise the turn because there is no way villain checks river - and could we encourage a b/c from villain?

badgers

02-06-2009, 06:30 PM

#4 (permalink)

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Join Date: Feb 2007

Location: Spewing

Posts: 3,372

Quote:

He has displayed weakness and a willingness to fold so far this session.

what does this mean??

depending on what this read is based on, your bet size might be right. Shoving seems a little transparent even to a fish but he's probably calling more than half his $70 calling range so a shovel is better.

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100nl ajs hits flush turn, river line?

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