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100NL AA sees a turn

  
 
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nogenius
Old 07-25-2006, 02:23 AM     Post subject: 100NL AA sees a turn #1 (permalink)  
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nogenius
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($40.85)
BB ($110)
UTG ($193.75)
MP1 ($100)
MP2 ($23.55)
CO ($112.85)
Hero ($167.70)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, A.
UTG calls $1, 1 fold, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, UTG calls $5, MP2 calls $5.

Flop: ($19.50) J, 4, T (3 players)
UTG checks, MP2 bets $3, Hero raises to $20, UTG calls $20, MP2 folds.

Turn: ($62.50) 4 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero ???

---

Villian is a 26/5 over 309. He seems to call on the flop fairly lightly, and he's floated my continuation bets in the past with low pair.

What's your turn move and river plan?
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zook
Old 07-25-2006, 02:40 AM #2 (permalink)  
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The 4's a good card for you. Since his PFR% is only 5 he could have limped JJ or TT from UTG, but I think it's unlikely. More likely is a straight or flush draw. I bet $50 here and probably fold to a push with stacks this deep. I'd only half pot it against a single draw here, but since there are two out there and he could bluff one if he doesn't hit his, you should make it a little more expensive.
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bair
Old 07-25-2006, 03:41 AM #3 (permalink)  
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theres no way im folding this no matter what. i pot the turn, and push a river blank (no spade, 7, Q).
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 07-25-2006, 04:28 AM #4 (permalink)  
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it'a very likely this is spades, or spades plus straight draw.
Give him bad odds on the turn.
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AHiltz
Old 07-25-2006, 01:16 PM #5 (permalink)  
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We gave bad odds on the flop and he called.

Which makes us more money? Spanking the turn, or checking behind trying to induce a bluff on the river?
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bair
Old 07-25-2006, 03:38 PM #6 (permalink)  
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i don't think hes bluffing the river, he knows he looks weak as fuck. i pound the turn.
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Pyroxene
Old 07-25-2006, 04:03 PM #7 (permalink)  
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KQ of spades?
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