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1/2 bottom set nasty board OOP

  
 
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Warpe
Old 03-20-2008, 12:53 AM     Post subject: 1/2 bottom set nasty board OOP #1 (permalink)  
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Assume no reads. Lead out or what? Not sure what's optimal.

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG+2: $210.95
MP1: $64.95
MP2: $39.70
CO: $376.70
BTN: $56.60
SB: $357.65
BB: $65.35
Hero (UTG): $195.60
UTG+1: $56.55

Pre-Flop: T T dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $7, 4 folds, CO calls $7, BTN calls $7, 2 folds

Flop: ($24) J Q T (3 Players)
Hero bets??
 
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Unibomber14
Old 03-20-2008, 01:48 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Lead. There are way more draws and 2pr in his range than big hands. Most made hands won't raise with this board, so I think I push to a raise (expecting a big draw.) I think that protecting our hand is the best we got. If someone calls, I push a blank or diamond on the turn, and c/f a big card.

What do you think of this range?


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,579,457 games 23.993 secs 107,508 games/sec

Board: Qd Jd Tc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 67.083% 66.31% 00.78% 1710451 20087.50 { TdTs }
Hand 1: 16.637% 14.39% 02.25% 371148 58032.67 { 99-22, ATs+, KJs+, ATo+, KQo }
Hand 2: 16.281% 14.03% 02.25% 362005 58001.50 { 99-22, ATs+, KJs+, ATo+, KQo }
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Deanglow
Old 03-20-2008, 05:20 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Let's start by betting $20 and go from there.
 
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Warpe
Old 03-20-2008, 05:22 AM #4 (permalink)  
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yeah, sorry for the obv question. it's been a while...
 
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Seabass
Old 03-20-2008, 09:04 AM #5 (permalink)  
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CO would hafto be crazy to begin bluffing here.

Bet, call BTN shove. CO should fold alot.
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spoonitnow
Old 03-20-2008, 12:02 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Deanglow
Let's start by betting $20 and go from there.
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