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$25NL QQ facing a big turn raise

  
 
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metalface
Old 09-20-2007, 07:53 PM     Post subject: $25NL QQ facing a big turn raise #1 (permalink)  

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metalface
Villain joined table about 10 hands ago so no real reads.

PokerStars Game #12168105151: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2007/09/20 - 15:01:08 (ET)
Table 'Alfirk IV' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Mflip10 ($25.85 in chips)
Seat 2: Rico1979 ($37.90 in chips)
Seat 3: beethreekay ($65.90 in chips)
Seat 4: Hero ($23 in chips)
Seat 6: Nambulous ($31.80 in chips)
Hero: posts small blind $0.10
Nambulous: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Qs Qd]
Mflip10: raises $0.75 to $1
Rico1979: folds
beethreekay: folds
Hero: raises $2 to $3
Nambulous: folds
Mflip10: calls $2
*** FLOP *** [6d Th 3c]
Hero: bets $2.50
Mflip10: calls $2.50
*** TURN *** [6d Th 3c] [As]
Hero: bets $3
Mflip10: raises $7 to $10
Hero?

I'm getting about 3-1 to call the raise and I think his range is Axs, AK, TT. Should I dump this hand?
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Ghaleon
Old 09-20-2007, 08:38 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Ghaleon
I'm hung up on his call on the flop. I mean, you re-raised him out of position pre-flop, he has to give you credit for a good hand.

Your c-bet on the flop should have chased him away from any draws. Not that he could feasably have any draws given that board and the pre-flop action.

If he had JJ, KK, or AA, I would expect him to raise your flop bet.

I think you're read is right. It sounds like a low-stakes fish playing with Ace/Rag.

He could be bluffing with 88 or 99 here too. If he had been at the table longer you might be able make some educated guesses on the percentage chances he is bluffing. Then weigh that against your 3 to 1 odds.

At this point I would dump it
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Silly String
Old 09-20-2007, 08:39 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Silly String
If your read is that his range is Axs, AK, or TT what do you think? Of course you should dump the hand. Your beat every time.
I 3bet pre to at least $3.50. Flop bet should be at least $4.5 with $6 in the pot. Turn should be b/f for 2/3rds of the pot. He is much less likely to have an A here if you bet him out of the pot on the flop.
As played turn is a fold.
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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NLHE lahooozaher
Old 09-20-2007, 08:54 PM #4 (permalink)  
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NLHE lahooozaher
Quote:
Originally Posted by Silly String
If your read is that his range is Axs, AK, or TT what do you think? Of course you should dump the hand. Your beat every time.
I 3bet pre to at least $3.50. Flop bet should be at least $4.5 with $6 in the pot. Turn should be b/f for 2/3rds of the pot. He is much less likely to have an A here if you bet him out of the pot on the flop.
As played turn is a fold.
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NLHE lahooozaher
Old 09-20-2007, 08:54 PM #5 (permalink)  
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double post, my bad
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Miffed22001
Old 09-20-2007, 09:07 PM #6 (permalink)  
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