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$200NL - C/c no good, right?

  
 
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XTR1000
Old 04-21-2008, 03:13 PM     Post subject: $200NL - C/c no good, right? #1 (permalink)  
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This is probably std but idk.

Our villian runs 28/5/0.6 over a small sample. His range for calling me down are FD´s/Tx/33/55/TT-JJ, maybe some random 5x hands. Two hands ago he called my pfr IP and donked 99 into a 3way pot on a Txx flop, lead a 9 on turn and played c/c with his set on river.

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
10 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($209.85)
Hero ($238.65)
UTG+2 ($185.15)
MP1 ($201.40)
MP2 ($43.00)
MP3 ($127.55)
CO ($196.00)
BTN ($406.00)
SB ($196.00)
BB ($40.00)

Pre-flop: ($3, 10 players) Hero is UTG+1
1 fold, Hero raises to $8, UTG+2 calls $8, 7 folds

Flop: ($19, 2 players)
Hero bets $15, UTG+2 calls $15

Turn: ($49, 2 players)
Hero bets $37, UTG+2 calls $37

River: ($123, 2 players)
Hero bets $61, UTG+2 calls $61

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elipsesjeff
Old 04-21-2008, 03:32 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 I think this is fine. The ace isn't really a scare card and if he does decide to raise you can safely let it go. I think he calls more on river if you bet than will bet when checked to.


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jimmy44
Old 04-21-2008, 03:37 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 With villain's stats, you have to add QQ-KK.
As he is passive and thus won't raise you light on river, I think we should b/f around $40 instead, otherwise he will only call with 33/55/56/54//TT/AT/AKss. If villain was more aggressive on river then a bigger bet is needed.
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pokerfan
Old 04-21-2008, 03:38 PM #4 (permalink)  
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this is a good line vs a loose donk. If the guy is not stationy, i prefer to c/c on the river cuz its likely that he called down flush draw with AsX.
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Deanglow
Old 04-21-2008, 04:07 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 I like every street. Maybe $40 on the river is better given his range.
 
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Ltrain
Old 04-21-2008, 06:05 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Deanglow
I like every street. Maybe $40 on the river is better given his range.
I agree. He may have us beat, but he is playing a wide range and with his low aggression rating he is checking through most hands.
"Don't judge a man until you have walked a mile in his shoes. Then you are a mile away, and have his shoes." - Anon.
 
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