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$100nl KK oop blah blah

  
 
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spoonitnow
Old 11-01-2007, 06:51 PM     Post subject: $100nl KK oop blah blah #1 (permalink)  
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 Villain is 22/7 with a fold-to-cbet% of 35 after > 500 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

CO ($56.95)
Button ($119.15)
SB ($88.95)
BB ($85.30)
UTG ($36.10)
UTG+1 ($125.15)
Hero ($99.25)
MP2 ($100.65)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K, K.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, Button calls $5, 2 folds, UTG+1 folds.

Flop: ($12.50) 3, 9, 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $10, Button calls $10.

Turn: ($32.50) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $23, Hero calls $23.

River: ($78.50) T (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $40, Hero calls $40.

Final Pot: $158.50

Is a turn check/raise better here?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ripptyde
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Clar17y
Old 11-01-2007, 07:07 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I like but not sure if for the right reason so i'm going spell it out and you say "Well done Clar", or "OmgZ WaT NooBsz Cl4R J00 Sux" and explain why :P

His fold to c-bet is quite small. This implies he's either been on a heater/catching cards (unlikely), or he likes to float a lot intending to take it down when the PFR slows down.

So, we're obviously not assuming you're beat on the turn and the check induces the bluff which we call obv.
If we raise the turn, what will he call with? Unless we know he's hyper-aggressive i doubt he'll continue with air, so that puts him on overpair/set maybe some random backdoor flush draw like Ah3h. Of course now the answer just relies on your read. If you just call, will he fire again on the river with air? If not raise, if so then call?

Now he either has a hand or he doesn't and was just trying to win it with aggression. If he has a hand, then it's likely 77-QQ or some random 45s-9Ts?
So when the river comes it looks like a bad card for us, 9T got 2 pair, 77/99/TT now all beat us so we check/call hoping he was just value betting a pair we beat?

Clar
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Miffed22001
Old 11-01-2007, 08:07 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 block river?
c/r all in with good read?
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Fnord
Old 11-01-2007, 08:08 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I like a river bet.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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Fnord
Old 11-01-2007, 08:10 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Miffed22001
c/r all in with good read?
I do this a lot. With the stack sizes here you have some serious problems with blowing out worse hands and paying off better hands.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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Miffed22001
Old 11-01-2007, 08:12 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Quote:
Originally Posted by Miffed22001
c/r all in with good read?
I do this a lot. With the stack sizes here you have some serious problems with blowing out worse hands and paying off better hands.
If we call turn marginal with 88 for example, how much respect do we get for turning AA-JJ and 88/AK/AQ into a bluff on river and stealing.
Enough or not enough?
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