www.flopturnriver.com

Poker Forum

Over 1,246,000 Posts!

Already Registered? Username: Password: Remember Forgot Password
Tweet

Week 12 NFL thoughts

LinkBack

Thread Tools

Display Modes

ensign_lee

11-27-2005, 06:04 AM Post subject: Week 12 NFL thoughts

#1 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Feb 2005

Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin

Posts: 2,237

ensign_lee's card, week 12

Teaser:
Cincy-2.5
Indy -2
Houston/St. Louis OVER 38
(+160)
15 units. I have quite a bit of confidence in this one.

KC -3 (+105)
1.5 units

KC OVER 51 (+100)
.5 units

Indy -7 (-115)
.5 units

Thinking about parlaying the INdy moneyline with an over of 48, but haven't pulled the trigger on that one yet.

I went heavy on the teaser, because I think that Cincinatti and Indianapolis can win by at least 3. In my mind, this makes the teaser pretty much moneyline plays on both of those two. And the Houston defense is nonexistent, so the Rams should be able to put up between 21-28, maybe even 35 points by themselves. Hopefully, my poor texans will be able to put up some points of their own against an injured Rams defense. We'll see. I really hope this teaser comes in.

The KC/NE game looked to be a shootout earlier when I took the bet. Forecast is thunderstorms now, but hopefully that won't inhibit the Patriots passing attack or the Chief's running game/passing game. I think that home field advantage will ultimately help the Chiefs and will push them to a victory over an very injured Patriots team.

I think Indy will win by double digits on MNF and so I took this bet on matchbook before the line moved. Hopefully, I'll be biting my fingers on Monday Night with my teaser having won its first two games and needing an Indy win by 3 or more while at the same time having the Colts spread at -7.

At any rate, this about sums up my card. Good luck to everyone. Let me know what you think.

Get your own starcraft 2 signature at sc2sig.com

Play for FREE and practice your game at...

Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!

Eric

11-27-2005, 06:16 AM Post subject: Re: Week 13 NFL thoughts

#2 (permalink)

Administrator
Administrator

Join Date: Dec 2003

Location: on my laptop

Posts: 1,782

Quote:

Originally Posted by ensign_lee

Indy -7 (-115)
.5 units

Locking in on the Colts at -7 was probably good, foxsports.com is now showing them at -9.

ensign_lee

11-27-2005, 06:43 AM Post subject: Re: Week 13 NFL thoughts

#3 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Feb 2005

Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin

Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by Eric

Quote:

Originally Posted by ensign_lee

Indy -7 (-115)
.5 units

Locking in on the Colts at -7 was probably good, foxsports.com is now showing them at -9.

Yeah, I got them early in the week. Lots of places have them at -8.5 or -9. 5dimes has them at -10

I mean, damn...that's respect...or no books wanting bets on the favorite. :P

Get your own starcraft 2 signature at sc2sig.com

ensign_lee

11-27-2005, 06:44 AM

#4 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Feb 2005

Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin

Posts: 2,237

I've pulled the trigger on the parlay for MNF.

Colts Moneyline
OVER 47

2 units @ about +140 odds.

Go colts.

)

Hopefully, come Monday night, the Colts will bring home the bacon for me, completing my teaser and hitting this parlay. Go Colts. AFC South, represent! :P

Get your own starcraft 2 signature at sc2sig.com

DoGGz

11-27-2005, 11:07 AM

#5 (permalink)

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by ensign_lee

I've pulled the trigger on the parlay for MNF.

Colts Moneyline
OVER 47

2 units @ about +140 odds.

Go colts.

)

Hopefully, come Monday night, the Colts will bring home the bacon for me, completing my teaser and hitting this parlay. Go Colts. AFC South, represent! :P

Man, you really think the colts are going to blow away the stealers?

jukejointroach

11-27-2005, 04:51 PM

#6 (permalink)

Straight

Join Date: Aug 2005

Posts: 131

i took the steelers at +8.5 as part of a parlay. let's just hope my other picks make this one worth caring about.

Unite and Annihilate!

a500lbgorilla

11-27-2005, 05:28 PM

#7 (permalink)

JESUS TAKE THE KEYBOARD

Join Date: Sep 2004

Location: This room is a good place to be

Posts: 8,379

Quote:

Originally Posted by DoGGz

Quote:

Originally Posted by ensign_lee

I've pulled the trigger on the parlay for MNF.

Colts Moneyline
OVER 47

2 units @ about +140 odds.

Go colts. :o)

Hopefully, come Monday night, the Colts will bring home the bacon for me, completing my teaser and hitting this parlay. Go Colts. AFC South, represent! :P

Man, you really think the colts are going to blow away the stealers?

I do. :(

-'rilla

Smithers, use the amnesia ray.
You mean the revolver, sir?
Precisely.

ensign_lee

11-28-2005, 01:59 AM

#8 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Feb 2005

Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin

Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by DoGGz

Quote:

Originally Posted by ensign_lee

I've pulled the trigger on the parlay for MNF.

Colts Moneyline
OVER 47

2 units @ about +140 odds.

Go colts.

)

Hopefully, come Monday night, the Colts will bring home the bacon for me, completing my teaser and hitting this parlay. Go Colts. AFC South, represent! :P

Man, you really think the colts are going to blow away the stealers?

Yeah, I do. The Steelers defense is predicated entirely on the blitz, something with the Colts offense excels at exploiting. I think that the Colts will punt twice, maybe three times tops.

So that makes the question mark the Steelers offense. Steelers offense is built to run, not to pass. Plus, Big Ben is coming back from surgery. Coming back from surgery is something that's very hard to do. Imagine trying to do that while at least four colts defenders are coming to try and knock you to the ground. All this points to the Steelers not being able to keep up with the Colts offensively.

Now, there are a few things that can foul this up.
1) The steelers offense is able to stay within their game plan while the Steelers defense is able to hold Manning and Co. to 24 points or less. They may be able to keep it close and maybe squeek by if that happens. At the very least, they can cover the spread (though I doubt it's important to THEM if they cover the spread).
2) Somebody injures Peyton Manning. This could suck...period.
3) The Colts, for some reason or other,d on't show up to play, much in the same manner as UT vs A&M this past Friday.

But I think that one of the following scenarios is more probable:
1) The Colts win in a high scoring affair, putting up 30+ points to the Steelers 27+ points
2) The Colts win in a blowout, putting up 30+ points to the Steelers 10+ points

I don't think that the Colts will allow themselves to be dominated by the Steelers.

Get your own starcraft 2 signature at sc2sig.com

ttanaka

11-29-2005, 06:06 AM

#9 (permalink)

Administrator
Administrator

Join Date: Dec 2003

Posts: 1,184

The Colts finished off my perfect 6-0 weekend. Making money betting NFL is fun.

ensign_lee

11-29-2005, 02:59 PM

#10 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Feb 2005

Location: The University of TEXAS at Austin

Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by ttanaka

The Colts finished off my perfect 6-0 weekend. Making money betting NFL is fun.

though much harder than it looks. :P

Congrats, ttanaka.

Get your own starcraft 2 signature at sc2sig.com

Latest Poker News
KoRnholio	05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
According to an email sent out by Mark Bryan, a gaming analyst at Merrill Lynch, the Australian government plans to legalize online poker sometime in the next six to 12 months. This move will coincide ... more at Poker Blogs »

« Previous Thread | Next Thread »

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads You may not post replies You may not post attachments You may not edit your posts BB code is On Smilies are On [IMG] code is On HTML code is Off Trackbacks are On Pingbacks are On Refbacks are On Forum Rules

All times are GMT. The time now is 09:07 AM.

Play Texas Holdem Online, Online Texas Holdem Strategy, & Poker Forum

This is not a gambling website.

Poker Forum

Over 1,246,000 Posts!

Poker Forum

FTR Community

Week 12 NFL thoughts

Play for FREE and practice your game at...