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Varience at bad live games.

  
 
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 02-26-2007, 10:42 PM     Post subject: Varience at bad live games. #1 (permalink)  
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Lets say you are at a really passive, bad live game (at a casino or a home game). You are a very good player playing semi LAGG and can read these players very well. AKA you absolutely own.

What is your varience in these games? Would you win practically everytime?
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mcatdog
Old 02-26-2007, 10:55 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Of course not. You're never going to be playing more than about 300 hands in a session and any player can easily lose a bundle over such a small number of hands. If you get sucked out on once or twice in a big pot and none of your drawing hands get there, you can easily lose a few buy-ins.
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DaNutsInYoEye
Old 02-27-2007, 12:13 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mcatdog
Of course not. You're never going to be playing more than about 300 hands in a session and any player can easily lose a bundle over such a small number of hands. If you get sucked out on once or twice in a big pot and none of your drawing hands get there, you can easily lose a few buy-ins.
Actually you really should. Assuming you mean the average live $1/2 NL game, then a good NL player should be booking winning sessions 80%+ of the time.
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 02-27-2007, 12:56 AM #4 (permalink)  
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yes i mean the avg live 1/2 game or your shitty homegame.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 02-27-2007, 02:15 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I think the variance can be big in a given session because of such donky play, but yeah I agree with DaNuts you can win like 80% of the time.
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redgrape
Old 02-27-2007, 03:41 AM #6 (permalink)  
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swiggidy
Old 02-27-2007, 04:00 AM #7 (permalink)  
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