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Aces
Old 02-28-2006, 07:33 PM     Post subject: Tuesday NCAA #1 (permalink)  
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Somebody talk me out of Ill -3.5 and LSU +1.5.

I know Minn plays well at home, but still...and LSU a dog @ 14-13 S.Carolina?
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metaxy6
Old 02-28-2006, 10:59 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Actually I won't try to talk you out of either pick. Home court has been really big in both the SEC and Big 10, though.
SC has some played some tough games @home. Their fg% is almost 3% better than their avg in conference home, and their fg% against is more than 6% better home. LSU is only about 1% off their conference avg otr, but their fg% against is more than 3% worse otr.
LSU is significantly worse in other categories as well otr. They should have more trips to ft line even otr, though.

Illinois fg% against is actually better otr, but Minny's fg% is about 5% better @home.
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metaxy6
Old 03-01-2006, 03:21 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Nice going on these winners if you hit em. I cashed Illinois with ya, but also tailed someone on SC. True to form, SC played good d, shot better from the field and from 3, but went 5-8 from ft, while LSU went 17-21 - result: another close home loss.
I'm cool though, since Detroit and SH came through for a 3-1 night.
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Aces
Old 03-02-2006, 04:38 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Unfortunately I didn't get the bets in. Figures I would have won both.
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