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DoGGz
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11-08-2005, 05:07 PM
Post subject: Teaser of the Week
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#1 (permalink)
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Now, a teaser bet is generally a sucker bet. Rarely does this type of bet offer any type of value at all, but sometimes it offers unique opportunites. These involve games that have little to no chance of going one way. It's definately hard to find these games, but if you can find multiple in one week, you can find some value.
This just happens to be one of those weeks. I'll be posting here if I see one, but don't expect it every week because it isn't something that happens often.
What to look for in a teaser:
Teams playing UNDERPOWERED offences, with a solid offence of their own to tease the line.
Two terrible offences to tease the o/u
Two powerful offences to tease the o/u
Kansas City +10
The Bills just don't have the offence to blow out the Cheifs. The Cheifs will almost never lose this game by over ten. If it was possible to do a one game teaser I'd bet the house on this.
ATL -2.5
This is the only game in this set I'm not 'happy' about, but the fact that the other games are so strong makes up for it. Bonus that it's at home.
Pit -1
Pit is solid, and the Browns are bad. The Browns have no offence, and the Steelers have a rock solid defence. Pit wins this game most of the time. Pit is a 'lock' if Big Ben is playing.
Panthers -2.5
The Panthers ARE this good. They are for real, and Vegas as stopped underrating them. The Jets offence is terrible, and the Panthers have shown they can throw points on the board. At -2.5 the Jets won't be able to backdoor cover like they did last week verses SD.
Rams/Seahawks O43
Over 43 is extremely high for a teaser bet, but lets look at this game. Two of the most high powered offences face off. They both love turf, and it will be on the turf in Seattle. They went over 60 in their last matchup, and don't expect this to be different.
Broncos/Raiders O39
This is the perfect o/u tease. The Broncos could cover just by themselves. There might be more points in this game than there are in the Rams/Seahawks game.
A 1 unit play pays 5 units, so you don't even need to win 20% of the time for this to have positive expected value. The Cheifs game is what pulls this play together.
Goodluck
EDIT: I wish I could have done a 7 game teaser. Bears/49ers Under 40 is just as solid as the plays above.
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Grand_MasterB
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Flush
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Cincinnati
Posts: 466
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You missed some other money teaser bets
49'ers +20... chicago cant score twenty in a game. period
Denver +4... Broncos are the second best team in football right now
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DoGGz
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Grand_MasterB
You missed some other money teaser bets
49'ers +20... chicago cant score twenty in a game. period
Denver +4... Broncos are the second best team in football right now
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I won't make the mistake of teasing a team playing a high powered offence like the raiders. The Bears won 28-3 v Minny earlier this year, and the 49ers are worse.
Besides, you can't tease 10 games, or I might have thought about it.
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iwa
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Straight
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 189
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doggz have I ever told you how hot of an ass you have?
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