- Poker Forum
- Poker Training
- Poker Rooms
- PokerStars
- Bovada
- Poker Room Reviews
- Poker Bonuses
- Casino Deposit Bonuses
- Online Casino Bonus Codes
- Best US Poker Sites
- USA State Poker Rooms
- No Deposit Bonus
- Exclusive Poker Bonuses
- Poker Bonus Codes
- Poker Networks
- Mac Poker Rooms
- Rakeback
- Poker Downloads
- PokerStars Download
- Bet365 Poker Download
- William Hill Poker Download
- Party Poker Download
- Ladbrokes Poker Download
- 888 Poker Download
- Bwin Poker Download
- Bovada Download
- Carbon Poker Download
- Americas Cardroom Download
- Cake Poker Download
- Intertops Poker Download
- Hand Converter
- Poker News
- Online Casino
- Bet365 Casino
- Bovada Casino
- Online Video Poker
- Online Slots
- Online Blackjack
- Online Sports Betting
- Live Dealer Casino
- Online Casino Reviews
- Casino Deposits
- Casino Deposit Bonus
- Casino Bonus Codes
- 3D Slots
- No Deposit Casinos
- Real Money Slots
- US Friendly Casinos
English
Deutsch
Español
Français
Italiano
Nederlands
Pусский
Svenska
Poker Forum |
Over 1,247,000 Posts! |
|
|
| |
| ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Well, this'll be the first time I'll be trying to cap MLB. I'm going to try to apply some of the fundamental strategies that I've learned trying to cap others sports. Let's see how it works. Bear with me; I'm a noob, so feel free to fade (or say "WHAT are you doing?!!!!?!?!?!) But um yeah. Let's see how this experiment goes. If you ever want to see a detailed analysis of my bets, here ya go: http://www.sagestats.com/view.php?uid=322424978 Allright. Onwards! |
|||
|
||||
Play for FREE and practice your game at...Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting! | ||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
To kick things off: Washington Nationals +1.5 (-163.27) 2 units at Matchbook Kansas City M/L (+146.02) 4 units at Matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| bigspenda73 |
|
|||
|
Im guessing we will be seeing a lot of + signs and m/l dogs in the future from you. I always thought the dog was the better bet in baseball but I've only bet a handful of games. |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
| Nats +1.5 are are -145 at matchbook now. I still like Florida -120 though. | |||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Apparently, I forgot to post one of my bets for last night. Baltimore M/L (+180) 2 units at Matchbook It lost, so yeah. But d'oh. zook: Hehe. Let's hope there's a plus sign next to my Units Won column.  Everybody: Ok. So I may have jumped into this game (MLB) with MUUUUUCH too much abandon. I'm going to scale back my unit sizes to 1 unit and 2 units, with only the very occasional 3 unit play. The majority of them will be 1 unit, and they will qualify for a play when I'm fading the public. To get to 2 units, there either has to be a dramatic odds movement (note I said odds movement, not line movement - m/l's are the normal play in baseball) of about 20 cents or so, where I can still get close to the original number, or I have to be betting on a home team that only has around 20% of the bets or so. (Like the Royals yesterday). So uh, yeah. |
|||
|
|
||||
| bigspenda73 |
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Quote:
Also, bigspenda - Yes. I do plan on hitting M/L's more often than runlines...for now. I got pwned yesterday paying -163 for that 1.5 runs. 
|
|||
|
|
||||
| zook |
|
|||
| Thanks for thinking of me! | |||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 1-2 Units Won: +.57 units If you want to delve deeply to see what I'm good at and what suck at, here's a detailed analysis of my bets. --- Oooook. May have overextended myself a BIT (read: a lot) yesterday and am going to try to cut back so I don't go broke to start off. Luckily, ended up in the + money yesterday. Phew... For today: Pittsburgh Pirates (+154) 1 unit at matchbook Washington Nationals (+117) 1 unit at matchbook Here goes nothing, betting on the nationals again. hah. |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 2-3 Units Won: 1.11 Washington Nationals (+139.16) 1 unit at Matchbook ... again. |
|||
|
|
||||
| bigspenda73 |
|
|||
|
Lee, you should real time bet the opposition the next time the Astros have a lead going into the 8th inning. Easssssyyyyy money |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
I would, but nobody offers live betting there. Why don't we have a closer? Pujols done screwed lidge up FOREVER. |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Pittsburgh Pirates (+143.08) 1 unit at Matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 4-4 Units Won: 1.93 For a look deeper into my record, http://www.sagestats.com/view.php?uid=322424978 For today: Kansas City Royals (+158.76) 2 units ...again. Around 80% of public on Boston. Not yet a proportionate odds move (0 odds movement actually). This might be just the time of day, though. I just have class when this goes off, so...I have to get the bet in now. Who knows? Maybe the line will move the wrong way like it did the first game? |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
| Just got em at +172. I'm 1-4 for MLB this season, hopefully some of my bets will do well today. | |||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
D'oh for us then, Harry. D-rays (+262.64) 1 unit at Matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
|
Nice, I also picked up D-rays +260 for 2 units earlier today. BTW Lee, I think I entered my bet on the Royals today (4/5) twice. Is there anyway I can take one out of my record? |
|||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Way to go Harry! And yeah. I'll see if I can't go and delete one of them for you. It's a bitch wading through the database, so if I don't get to it for a few days, don't kill me. But if I don't get to it by this time next week or something, let me know. |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
|
Thanks Lee. I'm back in the black even with the extra losing Royals bet though! http://www.sagestats.com/view.php?uid=322425258 |
|||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Baltimore (+201.88) 1 unit at Matchbook --- Also, WELL DONE HARRY! |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
| I have one unit on Baltimore +204 as well. | |||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
San Francisco (-104.08) 1 unit at Matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
|
hehe goooo Baltimore! I'm 7-6 +8.7u after today! |
|||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| IowaSkinsFan |
|
|||
| wow MLB has to be hard to bet on, what's your guys' strategy? | |||
|
Check out the new blog!!!
|
||||
| bigspenda73 |
|
|||
|
Quote:
It's a really really good post for any form of sportsbetting |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 7-6 Units Won: +4.54 Check me out! You'll be able to break down my record even further. --- Kansas City Royals (+109.76) 1 unit at Matchbook The Royals showed yesterday that they CAN hang tough with teams, even if they do get blown out from time to time. They beat the Tigers yesterday and I believe they can do it again. +money? I'll take it. Plus, the line's been dropping since last night, to make Detroit look tastier, even though there's about a 2:1 bet ratio on Detroit. Plus, sportsinsights is either A) getting fed bad information or B) feeding us bad information regarding the percentages on this game. I don't believe for a second this game is 50/50. |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Arizona Diamondbacks (+117.6) 2 units at Matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
| Lost all my bets today! -7u lol | |||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Comment: Yes. the Arizona bet above was at runline (-1.5) Harry: D'oh. Momma said there'd be days like this. Hang tough! |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 8-7 Units Won: 5.89 Detailed Analysis of My Bets - Check it out! --- We've got some good cappers here. I've got quite the competition out here. Kudos to y'all!--- For tomorrow (4-7-7): Arizona Diamondbacks M/L (-135) 3 units at BetJamaica Washington has had one miracle comeback and one close game (the latter being against Arizona). I think that they have yet to prove they have consistency and they're still getting used to their stadium. At -135, I like this bet. I might even buy some back later to try to scalp and make my odds better, but we'll see. I don't see this line getting better/cheaper than this tomorrow, so I'm taking it now. |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Additionally: Houston Astros (-115.31) 1 unit at Matchbook --- Houston is a team that is streaky and it looks like last night finally got the monkey of the first win off their backs. If you look at St. Louis, in their games, they've scored 1, 1, 0, 4, 1 : their lone win coming when they scored 4. I don't think they're done with their post championship funk yet. Plus, this gives me an opportunity to bet FOR my astros.
|
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Tampa Bay (+126) 1 unit at BetJamaica |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Just got my offer at matchbook accepted a little bit ago: Houston -1.5 (+184.24) 1 unit at Matchbook Yes. I know I'm spotting a run in the NL and with a home team. But it was an entire dollar of difference. I think that was a worthwhile tradeoff |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Colorado Rockies (+170) 1 unit at BetJamaica |
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
|
So I put a unit on Cleveland for 4/9 at Matchbook, but its a double header, so I don't know which game the bet is for. How do I enter it in SS? thanks |
|||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| bigspenda73 |
|
|||
| Should've taken the 'stros on a 10pt teaser. | |||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 9-12 Units Won: 3.74 You can find in-depth analysis of my bets. --- I got owned pretty badly yesterday, but onward we press. Yikes 1-5... --- Chicago Cubs (-144) 3 units at BetJamaica I believe that in their home opener the Cubs will be able to handle the astros handily, even if the astros perform better than they have been. --- Also, Harry: There's a SEA GM1 and SEA GM2 . Choose the one that is appropriate for you (the one that is first is GM1) and bigspenda: lolololol. What you mean is we should have taken the alternate runline on the cards -4.5 ... goodness that was a crappy game. |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Also: Tampa Bay (+136.22) 1 unit at Matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Chicago / Oakland UNDER 8 (-110) 1 unit at matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Atlanta -1.5 (-110.20) 2 units at Matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
* Angels M/L (127) 2 units * Pirates M/L (-123.46) 2 units * Diamondbacks M/L (-124) 1 unit * White Sox M/L (102.9) 2 units * Dodgers M/L (-125.5) 3 units * Dodgers -1.5 (165) 3 units Toronto -1.5 (+140) 1 unit at theGreek Some of these picks are borrowed from handicappers I respect. Thank y'all so much for your work! |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Not the best day ever. D'oh. YTD: 18-23 Units Won: .56 |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 18-23 Units Won: .56 To get a better idea of how I'm doing, SageStats --- Texas (-150) 3 units at Matchbook Texas -1.5 (-135.24) 2 units at Matchbook Also, San Diego M/L (-132) 2 units San Diego -1.5 (+168) 1 unit |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 21-25 Units Won: -1.11 For my record broken down further, http://www.sagestats.com/view.php?uid=322424978 --- This experiment is going awry quickly. Yikes...oh well. Onward we press. :drink: --- B-Jays M/L (-124.49) 2 units at matchbook Mets M/L (-144.9) 3 units at matchbook Mets -1.5 (141.12) 1 unit at matchbook D-Rays M/L (146) 1 unit at matchbook Mets Team Total OVER 4.5 (-115) 2 units at theGreek --- Lots of the above picks have been borrowed from others. Thank you for your hard work! |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Allrighty. Gosh...can't believe I'm doing this, but... Washington +1.5 (+130.34) 1 unit at Matchbook --- Also, lolololol at my repeat posts making this thread be 'on fire.; 
|
|||
|
|
||||
| Harry |
|
|||
| Go nats! I had 2 units +277 on em Lee =) | |||
|
PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
YTD: 25-27 Units Won: 3.11 For a more detailed record, http://www.sagestats.com/view.php?uid=322424978 --- Allrighty, here's what's on deck for today: Phillies M/L (-105.1) 2 units at matchbook Red Sox M/L (-101.03) 1 unit at matchbook Phillies -1.5 (+199.92) 1 unit at matchbook Yankees -1.5 (+160) 4 units at matchbook --- And then, my big 'over my head' wager of the day: Mets -1.5 (+110.37) 20 units at matchbook / thegreek --- Lots of my profit has come so far from fading the nationals. They strand a ridiculous amount of runners and I think the Mets can take care of business here. Even in last night's game (where I had Washington, by the way), the Nationals were only able to come up against two runs when they had bases loaded twice. Hopefully, they strand all their runners again today. I guess we'll see.  Lots of the other wagers have been heavily influenced by other handicappers that I respect. Thanks y'all! Also, I have some offers outstanding on matchbook that have not yet been filled. I will post those when they do get filled. Allrighty...here goes nothing. --- and way to have more faith than I did, Harry!
|
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Orioles (-1.5) (130.34) 2 units at matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
| ensign_lee |
|
|||
|
Florida (-102.04) 2 units at matchbook |
|||
|
|
||||
 |
| Latest Poker News | |
| KoRnholio |
05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
|
| According to an email sent out by Mark Bryan, a gaming analyst at Merrill Lynch, the Australian government plans to legalize online poker sometime in the next six to 12 months. This move will coincide ... | |
«
Previous Thread
|
Next Thread
»
| Thread Tools | |
| Display Modes | |
Linear Mode
|
|
All times are GMT. The time now is 07:39 AM.
|
|
All content © FlopTurnRiver.com |
Advertising |
Partners |
Testimonials |
T&C |
Contact Us |
FTR News & Press |
Site Map |
Search FTR
Full Tilt | Titan Poker | UltimateBet | Poker Stars | Ladbrokes Bonus | Sportsbook | Cake Poker Play Texas Holdem Online, Online Texas Holdem Strategy, & Poker Forum |
 |
| This is not a gambling website. |
