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Spenda's Sportsbetting Picks (Football Season)

  
 
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bigspenda73
Old 09-08-2007, 04:59 PM     Post subject: Spenda's Sportsbetting Picks (Football Season) #1 (permalink)  
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 Wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

It's that time of the year boys, let's get this shit going! Unfortunately, I don't have money on a book yet so I'm going to use this week as a trial for my system.

Here's how I bet if any of the 3 other guys around here forgot:

All bets are adjusted by units per the magnitude of the situation

1. Fade the public like crazy
2. Bet strange line-movements
3. Bet home dogs
4. M/l home dogs
5. Fade the public like crazy
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bigspenda73
Old 09-08-2007, 04:59 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 NCAAF Picks Today

1. Buffalo +3.5 @Temple ~1 unit
--OK, road dog for my first pick of the year. Listen, both of the teams horribly suck, but come on, Temple? We talking about Temple? Not a team, not a team, but Temple? Please, John Cheaney couldn't get these guys a win
Why it's a system play: Money is all over Temple and the line hasn't budged, sportsbooks obv don't mind the action on the home favorite here.

2. Toldedo +3.0 @Central Michigan ~2 units
Why it's a system play: 80% of the money on CM yet the line goes from -3.5 to -3. WTF over? That's a 2 unit play for reverse line movement.

3. @Eastern Michigan +3.5 vs Ball State ~2 units (1 unit on m/l @+160)
Why it's a system play: Home dog for one, also, big time reverse line movement. Money's on Ball State at a 2:1 clip and the line goes down 2 points! Did I miss something, hope not! I'll m/l the home dog at +160 as well.

I'll post more later for the late-afternoon games
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bigspenda73
Old 09-08-2007, 07:22 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 Bets for this afternoon, wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee. I was really wondering where all the home dogs were, then I realized, it's week 2 of CFB, all the good teams are still at home paying the poorer teams to come get the ass handed to them. Meh, haven't found much I like, here are a couple.

4. Oregon +8 @Michigan ~1 unit
Why it's a system play: Lol@ all the money on Michigan, how quickly we forget.....THAT YOU JUST LOST TO A DIV I-AA SCHOOL AT HOME. I'll take getting more than a touchdown for 1 unit Alex.

5. South Carolina +3.5 @Georgia~2 units
Why it's a system play:Money's all on UGA, line goes the wrong way, that's a 2 unit play.
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ensign_lee
Old 09-08-2007, 09:17 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Wow Oregon is taking it to Michigan. But what a horrible bunch of fans. That stadium is freaking quiet.

Have fun with your plays today, spenda. Go go go!

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IowaSkinsFan
Old 09-09-2007, 01:50 AM #5 (permalink)  
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 Love the toledo pick (my dads a toledo fan)
Check out the new blog!!!
 
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bigspenda73
Old 09-09-2007, 01:57 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 Well I'm +1 unit right now with the Toledo game tied in the 3rd quarter.

Go Toledo?
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swiggidy
Old 09-10-2007, 12:37 AM #7 (permalink)  
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 you only betting college?
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bigspenda73
Old 09-10-2007, 12:44 AM #8 (permalink)  
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 No, forgot to put any bets down this morning. Not sure how I would have done but probably would have lost a unit or two looking at the games now.
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bigspenda73
Old 09-15-2007, 02:52 PM #9 (permalink)  
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 Alright -1 unit last week thanks to that great 4th quarter by Toledo.....

Last get in on!

@Syracuse +11.5 vs. Ilinois ~2units (1 unit on m/l)
Wheeeeeeeeeeeee Homd dawg by more than 10 with reverse line movement. Holy pick of the day batman, I'm all over this one. I think I'll even gambooool and throw a unit on the m/l at +400.

Buffalo +33 @ Penn State ~1 unit
More reverse line movemnt by a few points against a school who if I remember correctly does not put up a bunch of points. Just a one unit play because I just don't know enough about Buffalo to risk any more.

Miss. State +12.5 @ Auburn ~2 units
Wheeeeeeeeee reverse line movement again, am I reading this stuff wrong? Come on Vegas, stop giving me so many bets!!! Auburn loses last week to USF, some would say they're out for revenge, I say they're just not that good (i.e. Michiga/Notre Dame)

@Central Florida +17 vs. Texas University ~2 units
Home dog, reverse line movement against a team who struggled with a weaker opponent earlier in the year. Plus I just hate the T-sips.

Alright, that's all for now, gogogogogogoggo underdogs!!!!!!!!!! An eight-unit morning, um, plz gogogogogoggo.
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bigspenda73
Old 09-15-2007, 06:23 PM #10 (permalink)  
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 Holy fucking shit, Buffalo was up 3-0 halfway though the 2nd qtr now they're down 31-3 halfway through the 3rd. WHAT THE FUCK JUST FUCKING HAPPENED?
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bigspenda73
Old 09-15-2007, 11:12 PM #11 (permalink)  
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 wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee looking like a good day!
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